Double Chance: 1X & 2X

1X · Home or Draw covers 90% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 10.0% on the only losing outcome.

Kedus Giorgis strong defense

Recent form leans to Kedus Giorgis: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.33 goals scored per match.

Kedus Giorgis

D W D W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 0.33

Fasil Ketema

L W L L D

Form 1-1-3 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.6

X2 · Draw or Away covers 90% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 10.0% on the only losing outcome.

Strong away form

Recent form leans to Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5 points versus 9 across the last 5 matches.

Arba Minch Kenema

L D L W D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 1.2

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

D D W D L W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

The model gives the draw a 45% chance and rates the two teams only 21.0 percentage points apart for an outright win.

High draw probability

Negelle Arsi

D L W W D

Form 2-2-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

D W L W D

Form 2-2-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.6

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 56.6% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

Recent form

Recent form leans to Mekelle Kenema: 5 points versus 6 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Ethiopia Bunna

W L D D L

Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.4

Mekelle Kenema

D W D L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 0.83