⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Brazil · Serie A
20:00
Flamengo
20:00
May 30
Coritiba
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
98%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Flamengo's recent form has been inconsistent, while Coritiba has shown strong attacking threat with 2.25 goals scored per game. Coritiba's defense has also been leaky, conceding 2 goals per game. With Jorginho ruled out for Flamengo, their attacking threat is reduced. Coritiba's...
Flamengo
Coritiba
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Brazil · Serie A
21:30
Bahia
21:30
May 30
Botafogo
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
97%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Bahia and Botafogo have a high BTTS rate. Botafogo is stronger with a higher pi-rating. Bahia's defense is weak, conceding 2 goals per game. With Botafogo's attacking threat, they are likely to score. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring nature of...
Bahia
Botafogo
⚽ Pick #3
✅ AI Analysed
Brazil · Serie A
21:30
Gremio
21:30
May 30
Corinthians
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
85%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Gremio has a slight edge over Corinthians due to home advantage. With Luis Suarez's potential retirement, Gremio's attack may be impacted. However, Corinthians' away form is a concern. The pi-ratings and expected goals suggest a closely contested match. Both teams have a high cha...
Gremio
Corinthians
⚽ Pick #4
✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One
20:30
Unisport Bafang
20:30
May 30
Aigle Royal de Moungo
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
95%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Aigle Royal de Moungo's strong home form is the key reason for their favored position in this match. Unisport Bafang has struggled on the road, with only one win in their last six away matches. Aigle Royal's possession-heavy style often leads to scoring opportunities, while Unisp...
Unisport Bafang
Aigle Royal de Moungo
⚽ Pick #5
✅ AI Analysed
Algeria · Ligue 1
16:00
MB Rouisset
16:00
May 30
USM Alger
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
84%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
MB Rouisset and USM Alger have similar pi-ratings, indicating an evenly matched contest. MB Rouisset's recent form shows a balance of scoring and conceding. USM Alger's away form is a concern, but their overall performance suggests they can still threaten. With both teams capable...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.