🔥 Over 2.5 Goals

Today's Over 2.5 Picks

Matches where our model gives 65% or higher probability of 3 or more total goals, well above the average. Gemini cross-checks every pick. Five selected daily.

📊 Poisson + AI 🔓 Free Forever

🔥 Pick #2 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Morocco · Botola Pro 15:00

Yacoub El Mansour

15:00

Jun 18

Hassania Agadir

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

Probability

92%

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

98%

Over 2.5

92%

BTTS

78%

AI Analysis

Yacoub El Mansour have a strong home record, with 1.3 goals scored per game. Hassania Agadir have struggled defensively, conceding 2.5 goals per game. The pi-ratings suggest Yacoub El Mansour are the stronger team. With a high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability, this match...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 77.7% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Yacoub El Mansour: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

77.7%

Both teams to score

Yacoub El Mansour BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Hassania Agadir BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Yacoub El Mansour

L W W D D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Hassania Agadir

L W L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5

📊 Poisson model: 92% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #3 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara 14:00

Pamba Jiji

14:00

Jun 18

Mtibwa Sugar

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

Probability

90%

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

97%

Over 2.5

90%

BTTS

85%

AI Analysis

Pamba Jiji has a slight edge over Mtibwa Sugar due to home advantage. Mtibwa Sugar's poor form and high concession rate make them vulnerable. Pamba Jiji's recent performances show they can capitalize on this. With both teams having a high BTTS rate, goals are expected. 💡 Tip: Ov...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 84.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Pamba Jiji: 7 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

84.9%

Both teams to score

Pamba Jiji BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Mtibwa Sugar BTTS

60%

Across recent matches

Pamba Jiji

L W L D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Mtibwa Sugar

D L W L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 7:14 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 2.8

📊 Poisson model: 90% chance of 3+ total goals

How Over 2.5 Picks Work

Poisson modelling from expected goals: attack strength, defence weakness, home advantage and H2H history combine to estimate xG for each team.

65% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives a genuine edge over the 53% base rate make the cut. Gemini must not disagree.

5 picks at 08:00 Lagos time, ranked by probability, highest first. Full results on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 2.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. Please gamble responsibly. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.