🔥 Over 2.5 Goals

Today's Over 2.5 Picks

Matches where our model gives 65% or higher probability of 3 or more total goals, well above the average. Gemini cross-checks every pick. Five selected daily.

📊 Poisson + AI 🔓 Free Forever

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Morocco · Botola Pro 15:00

Hassania Agadir

15:00

Jun 21

UTS Rabat

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

Probability

99%

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

99%

BTTS

97%

AI Analysis

Hassania Agadir and UTS Rabat have a high scoring record. Hassania Agadir averages 1.83 goals scored per game. UTS Rabat concedes 1.5 goals per game. With a high BTTS rate, goals are expected. The pi-ratings show a small differential. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest pick...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 97.1% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to UTS Rabat: 7 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

97.1%

Both teams to score

Hassania Agadir BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

UTS Rabat BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Hassania Agadir

L W L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5

UTS Rabat

W W L L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📊 Poisson model: 99% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #2 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Cameroon · Elite One 15:30

Stade Renard

15:30

Jun 21

Victoria United

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

Probability

79%

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

93%

Over 2.5

79%

BTTS

79%

AI Analysis

Stade Renard has a stronger home record, scoring 2 goals per game. Victoria United concedes 2 goals per game away. The pi-ratings differential favors Stade Renard. With both teams scoring frequently, a high-scoring match is likely. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest pick due...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 78.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring rates

Recent form leans to Victoria United: 5 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

78.9%

Both teams to score

Stade Renard BTTS

66.7%

Across recent matches

Victoria United BTTS

60%

Across recent matches

Stade Renard

L L W L D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Victoria United

L L L W W

Form 2-0-3 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 2

📊 Poisson model: 79% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #3 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Morocco · Botola Pro 15:00

FAR Rabat

15:00

Jun 21

Kawkab Marrakech

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

Probability

68%

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

88%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS

70%

AI Analysis

FAR Rabat and Kawkab Marrakech have a significant form gap, with Kawkab Marrakech scoring 1.83 goals per game. Kawkab Marrakech's attacking threat is high, while FAR Rabat's defensive strength is a concern. The absence of key players for FAR Rabat could impact their performance....

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 69.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to Kawkab Marrakech: 9 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

69.9%

Both teams to score

FAR Rabat BTTS

66.7%

Across recent matches

Kawkab Marrakech BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

FAR Rabat

D L W D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Kawkab Marrakech

W W L L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📊 Poisson model: 68% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #4 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Morocco · Botola Pro 15:00

Olympique Safi

15:00

Jun 21

Yacoub El Mansour

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

Probability

62%

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

84%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS

65%

AI Analysis

Olympique Safi and Yacoub El Mansour have similar form, with both teams scoring and conceding regularly. Yacoub El Mansour's recent wins give them an edge. Saad Salih's presence boosts Yacoub El Mansour's attack. The match importance and league draw rate suggest a close game. 💡...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 64.6% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High BTTS rate

Recent form leans to Yacoub El Mansour: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS probability

64.6%

Both teams to score

Olympique Safi BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Yacoub El Mansour BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Olympique Safi

D W D D L L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Yacoub El Mansour

L W W D D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📊 Poisson model: 62% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #5 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Morocco · Botola Pro 15:00

FUS Rabat

15:00

Jun 21

Olympique Dcheïra

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

Probability

61%

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

84%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS

25%

AI Analysis

FUS Rabat's strong form and Olympique Dcheïra's poor form create a significant gap. FUS Rabat's attacking threat is high with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. Their defensive strength is also notable with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches. Olympique Dcheïra's struggl...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 61.4% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

Form gap

Recent form leans to FUS Rabat: 10 points versus 2 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home Win

Over 2.5 Goals probability

61.4%

Chance of 3+ total goals

FUS Rabat high-scoring games

20%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Olympique Dcheïra high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

FUS Rabat

W D L W W

Form 3-1-1 Goals 8:2 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 0.4

Olympique Dcheïra

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📊 Poisson model: 61% chance of 3+ total goals

How Over 2.5 Picks Work

Poisson modelling from expected goals: attack strength, defence weakness, home advantage and H2H history combine to estimate xG for each team.

65% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives a genuine edge over the 53% base rate make the cut. Gemini must not disagree.

5 picks at 08:00 Lagos time, ranked by probability, highest first. Full results on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 2.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. Please gamble responsibly. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.