🔥 Over 2.5 Goals

Today's Over 2.5 Picks

Matches where our model gives 65% or higher probability of 3 or more total goals, well above the average. Gemini cross-checks every pick. Five selected daily.

📊 Poisson + AI 🔓 Free Forever

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Morocco · Botola Pro FT 2–0

Raja Casablanca

2:0

Hassania Agadir

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

❌ Lost

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

91%

Over 2.5

74%

BTTS

49%

AI Analysis

Raja Casablanca's strong home form and Hassania Agadir's high scoring rate make for an exciting match. Raja Casablanca's defense is solid, but Hassania Agadir's attack can cause problems. With Raja Casablanca's pi-rating advantage, they are likely to dominate. Hassania Agadir's r...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 73.5% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring rate

Recent form leans to Raja Casablanca: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

73.5%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Raja Casablanca high-scoring games

16.7%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Hassania Agadir high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Raja Casablanca

D W W L W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Hassania Agadir

D L W L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:12 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2

📊 Poisson model: 74% chance of 3+ total goals

How Over 2.5 Picks Work

Poisson modelling from expected goals: attack strength, defence weakness, home advantage and H2H history combine to estimate xG for each team.

65% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives a genuine edge over the 53% base rate make the cut. Gemini must not disagree.

5 picks at 08:00 Lagos time, ranked by probability, highest first. Full results on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 2.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. Please gamble responsibly. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.