🔥 Over 2.5 Goals

Today's Over 2.5 Picks

Matches where our model gives 65% or higher probability of 3 or more total goals, well above the average. Gemini cross-checks every pick. Five selected daily.

📊 Poisson + AI 🔓 Free Forever

👑 Best Pick

USA · Major League Soccer FT 4–0

Los Angeles FC

4:0

Sporting Kansas City

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

✅ Won

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

99%

Over 2.5

97%

BTTS

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 90.1% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS probability

90.1%

Both teams to score

Los Angeles FC BTTS

66.7%

Across recent matches

Sporting Kansas City BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Bookmaker implied chance

43%

Market does not fully agree

Los Angeles FC

W W W L L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:10 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Sporting Kansas City

W L L W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:14 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.33

🏥 Los Angeles FC unavailable

S. Palencia · Groin Injury

T. Tillman · Leg Injury

Igor Jesus · Knee Injury

🏥 Sporting Kansas City unavailable

J. Reynolds · Muscle Injury

T. Calheira · Ankle Injury

Diego Borges · Muscle Injury

📊 Poisson model: 97% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #2 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

USA · Major League Soccer FT 2–1

Columbus Crew

2:1

FC Cincinnati

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

✅ Won

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

99%

Over 2.5

96%

BTTS

92%

AI Analysis

Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati have a significant form gap, with FC Cincinnati scoring 3 goals per game. The away team has a strong attacking threat, while Columbus Crew has a moderate defensive strength. The absence of Wessam Abou Ali is a key injury impact for Columbus Crew. F...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 91.7% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to FC Cincinnati: 7 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

91.7%

Both teams to score

Columbus Crew BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

FC Cincinnati BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Columbus Crew

L W D L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Cincinnati

W W D D D W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 18:12 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 2

📊 Poisson model: 96% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #3

USA · Major League Soccer FT 2–1

Portland Timbers

2:1

Real Salt Lake

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

✅ Won

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

99%

Over 2.5

95%

BTTS

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 85% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Real Salt Lake: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

BTTS probability

85%

Both teams to score

Portland Timbers BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Real Salt Lake BTTS

66.7%

Across recent matches

Portland Timbers

D W L L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:8 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Real Salt Lake

L D W W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Portland Timbers 0wins ·0 draws ·Real Salt Lake 1wins

Portland Timbers 0-2 Real Salt LakeMay 2, 2026

🏥 Portland Timbers unavailable

O. Fernandez · Foot Injury

J. Mosquera · Foot Injury

Z. McGraw · Back Injury

K. Kelsy · Foot Injury

🏥 Real Salt Lake unavailable

J. Glad · Groin Injury

A. Piol · Achilles Tendon Injury

E. Eneli · Knee Injury

A. Hezarkhani · Toe Injury

📊 Poisson model: 95% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #4 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Brazil · Serie A FT 1–1

Bahia

1:1

Corinthians

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

❌ Lost

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

98%

Over 2.5

91%

BTTS

88%

AI Analysis

Bahia and Corinthians have a history of high scoring matches. Bahia's home form is decent with an average of 1.5 goals scored per game. Corinthians' away form is weaker, but they still pose an attacking threat. With key players like Kayky for Bahia, they have a good chance of sco...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 87.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to Corinthians: 6 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.10 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS probability

87.9%

Both teams to score

Bahia BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Corinthians BTTS

40%

Across recent matches

Bookmaker implied chance

45%

Market does not fully agree

Bahia

D W L D L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Corinthians

W W L W L

Form 3-0-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1.4

🏥 Bahia unavailable

Leo Vieira · Injury

M. Moreno · Lacking Match Fitness

🏥 Corinthians unavailable

M. Depay · Rest

Vitinho · Hip Injury

Kayke · Knee Injury

📊 Poisson model: 91% chance of 3+ total goals

🔥 Pick #5 ✅ AI + Gemini Verified

Brazil · Serie A FT 0–0

RB Bragantino

0:0

Coritiba

Our prediction

🔥 Over 2.5 Goals: YES

❌ Lost

Goals breakdown

Over 1.5

97%

Over 2.5

87%

BTTS

77%

AI Analysis

RB Bragantino has a strong home record, scoring 2 goals per game. Coritiba concedes 2.2 goals per game. With RB Bragantino's xG at 3.542, they are likely to score multiple goals. Coritiba's high BTTS rate also suggests both teams will score. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the stronges...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 86.8% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Recent form leans to RB Bragantino: 8 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.40 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

86.8%

Chance of 3+ total goals

RB Bragantino high-scoring games

20%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Coritiba high-scoring games

100%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Bookmaker implied chance

39%

Market does not fully agree

RB Bragantino

D W W L D

Form 2-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 0.8

Coritiba

L W W D L

Form 2-1-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.2

🏥 RB Bragantino unavailable

A. Sant'Anna · Red Card

I. Pitta · Injury

Fabricio · Ankle Injury

Vanderlan · Knee Injury

🏥 Coritiba unavailable

S. Gomez · Injury

Rodrigo Rodrigues · Ankle Injury

Fabinho · Inactive

📊 Poisson model: 87% chance of 3+ total goals

How Over 2.5 Picks Work

Poisson modelling from expected goals: attack strength, defence weakness, home advantage and H2H history combine to estimate xG for each team.

65% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives a genuine edge over the 53% base rate make the cut. Gemini must not disagree.

5 picks at 08:00 Lagos time, ranked by probability, highest first. Full results on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 2.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. Please gamble responsibly. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.