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3 Picks from Thursday, May 28 2026

Browsing our archive - these are the picks we put out on this day, plus the actual results.

📅 Thursday, May 28 2026 ↩ Back to today
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🔥
2 wins in a row
Hot streak - last 2 settled picks all hit.
🏆 Best ever: 6 wins
👑 Pick of the Day
Egypt · Premier League KO 15:00
Petrojet
15:00
May 28
El Gouna FC
Our Prediction
⚽ Over 2.5 Goals
HIGH Confidence
O2.5 82% BTTS 68%
Petrojet 73.0% Draw 17.0% El Gouna FC 10.0%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
🟢 High confidence
High scoring form
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
📊 Historically 53.1% correct at this confidence level
84%
💡 Why we like it
  • Petrojet's strong form and high scoring rate make them favorites
  • El Gouna FC's inconsistent form and low scoring rate are concerns
  • Petrojet's home advantage and El Gouna FC's away struggles also factor in
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score (GG)
BTTS rate high
75%
Home Win
Petrojet strong form
70%
🤖 AI Analysis
Petrojet's strong form and high scoring rate make them favorites. El Gouna FC's inconsistent form and low scoring rate are concerns. Petrojet's home advantage and El Gouna FC's away struggles also factor in. With Petrojet averaging 2.2 goals per game and El Gouna FC conceding 1.17 goals per game, the match is likely to see multiple goals.5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.
💡
Top Tip
Over 2
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Both Teams to Score is rated at 68.3% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.
High scoring form
Recent form leans to Petrojet: 11 points versus 6 across the last 5 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.20 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS probability
68.3%
Both teams to score
Petrojet BTTS
80%
Across recent matches
El Gouna FC BTTS
66.7%
Across recent matches
Petrojet
W D W D W
Form 3-2-0 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 2.2 Conceded/game 1.2
El Gouna FC
W D L L D D
Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17
📊 Based on form, H2H & tactical analysis Share on WhatsApp
⭐ Pick #2
Sudan · Sudani Premier League KO 14:45
Umm Mughad
14:45
May 28
Hilal El-Fasher
Our Prediction
🔒 Under 2.5 Goals
HIGH Confidence
O2.5 13% BTTS 11%
Umm Mughad 31.0% Draw 54.0% Hilal El-Fasher 15.0%
🎯 Best Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
🟢 High confidence
Low scoring teams
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
📊 Historically 53.1% correct at this confidence level
85%
💡 Why we like it
  • Umm Mughad and Hilal El-Fasher have a significant form gap, with Umm Mughad showing some attacking threat
  • However, both teams have strong defensive records, with Umm Mughad having a 67% clean sheet rate
  • Hilal El-Fasher has failed to score in all their last 3 matches
▸ Show 2 alternatives
No Both Teams Score (NG)
Teams rarely score
80%
Home Clean Sheet
Hilal El-Fasher struggles
75%
🤖 AI Analysis
Umm Mughad and Hilal El-Fasher have a significant form gap, with Umm Mughad showing some attacking threat. However, both teams have strong defensive records, with Umm Mughad having a 67% clean sheet rate. Hilal El-Fasher has failed to score in all their last 3 matches. The pi-ratings also suggest Umm Mughad is slightly stronger. Given the low scoring nature of both teams, a low-scoring match is likely.5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the teams' low scoring records.
💡
Top Tip
Under 2
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 44.4%, based on the goal model.
Low scoring teams
Recent form leans to Umm Mughad: 4 points versus 2 across the last 3 matches.
Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 0.67 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Under 2.5 Goals
Most likely score
0-0
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
44.4%
Exact-score model probability
Umm Mughad
L D W
Form 1-1-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1
Hilal El-Fasher
L D D
Form 0-2-1 Goals 0:2 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 0.67
📊 Based on form, H2H & tactical analysis Share on WhatsApp
🔥 Pick #3
Ethiopia · Premier League KO 16:00
Mekelakeya
16:00
May 28
Arba Minch Kenema
Our Prediction
🏠 Mekelakeya to Win
HIGH Confidence
O2.5 39% BTTS 24%
Mekelakeya 73.0% Draw 20.0% Arba Minch Kenema 7.0%
🎯 Best Pick
Home Win
🟢 High confidence
Strong home form
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
📊 Historically 53.1% correct at this confidence level
82%
💡 Why we like it
  • Mekelakeya's strong home form and defensive record give them an edge
  • Arba Minch Kenema's struggles to score away from home are a concern
  • Mekelakeya's clean sheet percentage is high, and their xG suggests a low-scoring match
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Under 2.5 Goals
Low scoring trends
75%
Home Clean Sheet
Defensive strength
70%
🤖 AI Analysis
Mekelakeya's strong home form and defensive record give them an edge. Arba Minch Kenema's struggles to score away from home are a concern. Mekelakeya's clean sheet percentage is high, and their xG suggests a low-scoring match. With Mekelakeya's home advantage and Arba Minch Kenema's scoring issues, a home win is likely.
💡
Top Tip
Back Mekelakeya to win with a clean sheet
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
1X · Home or Draw covers 93% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 7.0% on the only losing outcome.
Strong home form
Recent form leans to Mekelakeya: 9 points versus 5 across the last 5 matches.
Numbers behind this Home Win
1X · Home or Draw
93%
Two outcomes covered by the model
Loss probability
7%
Only the uncovered result loses
Mekelakeya
D W D D W
Form 2-3-0 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 0.4
Arba Minch Kenema
L D L W D
Form 1-2-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 1.2
📊 Based on form, H2H & tactical analysis Share on WhatsApp
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Important: These predictions are generated by a statistical AI model for entertainment purposes only. They are not financial advice, betting tips, or guaranteed outcomes. Football is unpredictable - no model predicts results with certainty. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, visit BeGambleAware.org.
Questions

How do the daily picks work?

How are the 3 picks chosen each day?
Our system analyses every match from top European leagues - Premier League, Champions League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1 and more. It scores each prediction by the margin of confidence between the likely outcome and the next most probable one, then selects the top 3 with variety.
What model powers the predictions?
A two-stage system: first, Poisson distribution calculates goal probabilities from each team's recent attack and defence stats. Then three independent AI engines each enrich that with knowledge of current form, head-to-head history, injuries and tactical context, and must all reach the same conclusion before any tip is published.
Why do you show when picks are wrong?
Because transparency is the only honest thing to do. Every prediction site has losing days - the ones that hide results are the ones you should not trust. We show wins and losses equally so you can judge for yourself.
Is this free? Will it ever cost money?
Yes - free, forever. TavsScore is supported by advertising. We will never charge for predictions, lock picks behind a paywall, or promise accuracy for money. If you see any site doing that, treat it with extreme caution.
🔞 18+ only. These picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. AI predictions are never guaranteed. Past accuracy is not a guarantee of future results. Please gamble responsibly. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
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