Mexico · Liga MX

Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Club Queretaro 53.9% Draw 21.6% Atlante FC 24.5%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club Queretaro: 11 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Club Queretaro

D W W L D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Atlante FC

W D L D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Queretaro win53.9%

Draw21.6%

Atlante FC win24.5%

Over 1.5 goals91.0%

Over 2.5 goals74.5%

Over 3.5 goals54.4%

Both teams to score72.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.8%

Home Team to Score

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.2%

Home or Draw (1X)74.5%

Both Halves Over 0.572.9%

Goal in Both Halves72.9%

Draw No Bet - Home68.3%

Home Win54.8%

Draw or Away (X2)45.1%

Draw No Bet - Away31.7%

Away Win25.4%

Draw19.7%

Exactly 1 Goal8.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals80.3%

Over 2.5 Goals74.4%

Under 4.5 Goals65.1%

2-4 Goals55.0%

Over 3.5 Goals54.4%

4+ Goals54.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.6%

1-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals34.9%

Under 2.5 Goals25.6%

1-2 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 5.5 Goals19.7%

Exactly 2 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.2%

Away Team to Score78.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.8%

Home Clean Sheet21.0%

Home Win to Nil19.0%

Away Clean Sheet9.7%

Away Win to Nil7.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.2%

Away Over 0.578.9%

Home Over 1.567.5%

Away Over 1.546.2%

Home Over 2.541.1%

Home 3+ Goals41.1%

Away Exactly 132.8%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Home Exactly 122.7%

Away Exactly 021.0%

Away Over 2.520.6%

Away 3+ Goals20.6%

Home Exactly 09.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.1%

Home to win by 3+18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 216.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 27.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.4%

Away to win by 3+4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.8%

Home & Over 2.544.5%

Home & BTTS35.9%

Away & Over 2.519.7%

Home & No BTTS19.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.0%

Away & BTTS17.7%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Home & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

Draw & Under 2.59.5%

Away & No BTTS7.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Away & Under 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.6%

HT Over 1.552.2%

HT Under 1.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT Home Win43.1%

HT/FT Home/Home35.6%

HT Both Teams Score32.8%

HT Draw32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win24.1%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT Under 0.517.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT/FT Away/Away14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners89.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners83.1%

Over 9.5 Corners82.9%

Over 10.5 Corners74.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners69.8%

Over 11.5 Corners63.8%

Away Most Corners57.3%

Under 11.5 Corners36.2%

Home Most Corners32.1%

Under 10.5 Corners25.9%

Under 9.5 Corners17.1%

Under 8.5 Corners10.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards86.8%

Over 3.5 Cards72.3%

Under 5.5 Cards63.1%

Over 4.5 Cards54.5%

Under 4.5 Cards45.5%

Over 5.5 Cards36.9%

Under 3.5 Cards27.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.7%

Under 2.5 Cards13.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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