Mexico · Liga MX

FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

FC Juarez 16.0% Draw 22.5% Club Tijuana 61.5%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Club Tijuana: 3 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

FC Juarez

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:12 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2

Club Tijuana

W D L W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

FC Juarez win16.0%

Draw22.5%

Club Tijuana win61.5%

Over 1.5 goals83.5%

Over 2.5 goals61.0%

Over 3.5 goals38.7%

Both teams to score57.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Cards

91.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.8%

Home or Away (12)79.9%

Draw No Bet - Away78.5%

Away Win62.8%

Both Halves Over 0.562.5%

Goal in Both Halves62.5%

Home or Draw (1X)37.2%

Draw No Bet - Home21.5%

Draw20.0%

Home Win17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal13.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals90.0%

Over 1.5 Goals82.2%

Under 4.5 Goals78.9%

Under 3.5 Goals61.3%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Over 2.5 Goals61.0%

1-3 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.0%

Over 3.5 Goals38.7%

4+ Goals38.7%

1-2 Goals34.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.2%

Over 4.5 Goals21.1%

Under 1.5 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.1%

Home Team to Score64.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.6%

Away Clean Sheet36.0%

Away Win to Nil31.7%

Home Clean Sheet11.8%

Home Win to Nil7.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.1%

Home Over 0.564.0%

Away Over 1.562.8%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 036.0%

Away Over 2.535.9%

Away 3+ Goals35.9%

Home Over 1.527.2%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 125.3%

Home Exactly 218.8%

Away Exactly 011.8%

Home Over 2.58.4%

Home 3+ Goals8.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)62.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.3%

Away to win by 123.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.4%

Away to win by 3+20.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.0%

Away to win by 219.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 111.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 24.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.6%

Home to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.1%

Away & Over 2.544.0%

Away & No BTTS31.7%

Away & BTTS31.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.6%

Away & Under 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.6%

Home & Over 2.510.6%

Home & BTTS9.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Home & No BTTS7.6%

Home & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.8%

HT Under 1.558.5%

HT Away Win46.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.5%

HT/FT Away/Away41.1%

HT Draw36.1%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.2%

Equal Goals Each Half23.3%

HT Both Teams Score22.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%

HT Home Win17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.3%

HT/FT Home/Home9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners86.8%

Over 8.5 Corners82.2%

Away Most Corners79.8%

Over 9.5 Corners72.7%

Over 10.5 Corners61.7%

Over 11.5 Corners50.0%

Under 11.5 Corners50.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Under 10.5 Corners38.3%

Under 9.5 Corners27.3%

Under 8.5 Corners17.8%

Home Most Corners12.8%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards91.6%

Under 4.5 Cards81.5%

Under 3.5 Cards64.7%

Over 2.5 Cards57.7%

Under 2.5 Cards42.3%

Over 3.5 Cards35.3%

Over 4.5 Cards18.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.0%

Over 5.5 Cards8.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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