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🚫 Team Goals NO Picks

Team to Score 2+ or 3+ Goals: NO

We predict NO on the team our model is most confident will not reach the goal threshold. Each day the AI picks the safest NO between the 2+ Goals and 3+ Goals markets. The highlighted team is the one we are saying NO on.

🚫 Safest NO Pick 🔓 Free Forever
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What is this market? "A Team to Score 2 or More Goals" and "A Team to Score 3 or More Goals" are YES/NO markets at Bet365, William Hill, 1xBet, and most bookmakers under Match Goals → A Team to Score 2+/3+. We only predict NO, on the team our Poisson model says is least likely to hit the threshold. Each day the AI chooses the safer market between 2+ and 3+ to maximise confidence.

👑 Best Pick 🚫 NO: Olympique Dcheïra 3+ Goals
Morocco · Botola Pro 18:00
Olympique Dcheïra
18:00
Jun 25
Ittihad Tanger
Our prediction
🚫 Olympique Dcheïra: 3+ Goals: NO
3+ Probability
0.4%
3+ Goals probability per team (lower = better for NO)
Olympique Dc... 3+
0.4%
Ittihad Tang... 3+
21.7%
Over 2.5
30%
AI Analysis
Olympique Dcheïra is in poor form, scoring only 0.5 goals per game. Ittihad Tanger has a strong defense, with 67% clean sheets in their last 6 matches. The away team's attacking threat, combined with the home team's struggles, makes for a one-sided match. Ittihad Tanger's recent...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
X2 · Draw or Away covers 94% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 6.0% on the only losing outcome.
Form gap
Recent form leans to Ittihad Tanger: 2 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away Win
X2 · Draw or Away
94%
Two outcomes covered by the model
Loss probability
6%
Only the uncovered result loses
Olympique Dcheïra
L L D D L L
Form 0-2-4 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.5
Ittihad Tanger
W W D W D W
Form 4-2-0 Goals 6:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.33
🚫 Olympique Dcheïra 3+ Goals: NO, we win if Olympique Dcheïra scores 0, 1 or 2 goals
🚫 Pick #2 🚫 NO: Wydad AC 3+ Goals
Morocco · Botola Pro 18:00
Wydad AC
18:00
Jun 25
Maghreb Fès
Our prediction
🚫 Wydad AC: 3+ Goals: NO
3+ Probability
2.1%
3+ Goals probability per team (lower = better for NO)
Wydad AC 3+
2.1%
Maghreb Fès 3+
2.3%
Over 2.5
12%
AI Analysis
Wydad AC and Maghreb Fès have a significant form gap, with Wydad AC scoring 1.4 goals per game and Maghreb Fès scoring 1 goal per game. Maghreb Fès has a strong defensive record, with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches. The pi-ratings suggest Maghreb Fès is slightly stronger,...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The model gives the draw a 48% chance and rates the two teams only 4.0 percentage points apart for an outright win.
High draw probability
Recent form leans to Wydad AC: 9 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.
Numbers behind this Draw
Draw probability
48%
Model chance of a level finish
Win-probability gap
4%
Smaller gap means a more even matchup
Wydad AC
W W W L L
Form 3-0-2 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 1
Maghreb Fès
L L W D W
Form 2-1-2 Goals 5:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.4
🚫 Wydad AC 3+ Goals: NO, we win if Wydad AC scores 0, 1 or 2 goals
🚫 Pick #3 🚫 NO: UTS Rabat 3+ Goals
Morocco · Botola Pro 18:00
UTS Rabat
18:00
Jun 25
Difaa EL Jadida
Our prediction
🚫 UTS Rabat: 3+ Goals: NO
3+ Probability
4.3%
3+ Goals probability per team (lower = better for NO)
UTS Rabat 3+
4.3%
Difaa EL Jad... 3+
24.3%
Over 2.5
45%
AI Analysis
UTS Rabat have a poor home record, scoring only 0.3 goals per game. Difaa EL Jadida have a strong away record, with 1.3 goals scored per game. The pi-ratings suggest Difaa EL Jadida are the stronger team. With Anthony Okpotu joining Difaa EL Jadida, their attacking threat has inc...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
X2 · Draw or Away covers 84% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 16.0% on the only losing outcome.
Strong away form
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away Win
X2 · Draw or Away
84%
Two outcomes covered by the model
Loss probability
16%
Only the uncovered result loses
UTS Rabat
W W L L L W
Form 3-0-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5
Difaa EL Jadida
D W D D L W
Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1
🚫 UTS Rabat 3+ Goals: NO, we win if UTS Rabat scores 0, 1 or 2 goals
🚫 Pick #4 🚫 NO: Kawkab Marrakech 3+ Goals
Morocco · Botola Pro 18:00
Kawkab Marrakech
18:00
Jun 25
FUS Rabat
Our prediction
🚫 Kawkab Marrakech: 3+ Goals: NO
3+ Probability
5.6%
3+ Goals probability per team (lower = better for NO)
Kawkab Marra... 3+
5.6%
FUS Rabat 3+
45.5%
Over 2.5
65%
AI Analysis
FUS Rabat's strong away form and high expected goals rate give them an edge. Kawkab Marrakech's attack is potent but their defense is vulnerable. With Hafidi's injury, Kawkab Marrakech's threat is reduced. FUS Rabat's clean sheet percentage is high but Kawkab Marrakech can still...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 85.7% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.
FUS Rabat form
Recent form leans to Kawkab Marrakech: 12 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.43 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away Win
Over 1.5 Goals probability
85.7%
Chance of 2+ total goals
Kawkab Marrakech high-scoring games
83.3%
Recent matches with 3+ goals
FUS Rabat high-scoring games
20%
Recent matches with 3+ goals
Kawkab Marrakech
W W L L W W
Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17
FUS Rabat
W D L W W
Form 3-1-1 Goals 8:2 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 0.4
🚫 Kawkab Marrakech 3+ Goals: NO, we win if Kawkab Marrakech scores 0, 1 or 2 goals
🚫 Pick #5 🚫 NO: Yacoub El Mansour 3+ Goals
Morocco · Botola Pro 18:00
Yacoub El Mansour
18:00
Jun 25
Raja Casablanca
Our prediction
🚫 Yacoub El Mansour: 3+ Goals: NO
3+ Probability
6.1%
3+ Goals probability per team (lower = better for NO)
Yacoub El Ma... 3+
6.1%
Raja Casabla... 3+
8%
Over 2.5
31%
AI Analysis
Yacoub El Mansour and Raja Casablanca have similar form, with Yacoub El Mansour averaging 1.33 goals scored per game and Raja Casablanca averaging 1 goal scored per game. Raja Casablanca has a strong defensive record, with 60% clean sheets in their last 5 matches. However, Yacoub...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The model gives the draw a 37% chance and rates the two teams only 3.0 percentage points apart for an outright win.
High draw probability
Recent form leans to Yacoub El Mansour: 11 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Draw
Draw probability
37%
Model chance of a level finish
Win-probability gap
3%
Smaller gap means a more even matchup
Yacoub El Mansour
L W W D D W
Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1
Raja Casablanca
W W L W L
Form 3-0-2 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.6
🚫 Yacoub El Mansour 3+ Goals: NO, we win if Yacoub El Mansour scores 0, 1 or 2 goals
How Team Goals NO Picks Work
1
Our Poisson model calculates each team's goal probability for both the 2+ and 3+ markets. Using attacking xG vs defensive weakness, we compute the exact probability of each team scoring 2 or more, or 3 or more goals.
2
We pick the safest NO between both markets. If a team has under 15% chance of scoring 3+, we pick NO on the 3+ market. If a team has under 25% chance of scoring 2+, that becomes the safer NO. The AI always picks the lowest-probability option.
3
We win when the named team stays under the threshold. For a 3+ NO: team scores 0, 1 or 2 goals. For a 2+ NO: team scores 0 or 1 goal. Available at Bet365, William Hill, 1xBet under "A Team to Score 2+/3+".
🔞 18+ only. Team goals NO picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
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