🎯 CORRECT SCORE · HIGH RISK

Correct Score Forecasts

Our AI's most likely scorelines, derived from Poisson modelling, attack/defence ratings and recent form. Exact scores are the hardest market in football. Use these for insight, fun, or small-stake long shots, not as a primary strategy.

⚠️ High-Risk Market. Correct score is significantly harder to predict than 1X2, Over/Under, or BTTS. Even a strong AI model will miss exact scores regularly. That is the nature of the market. Use these as long-shot entertainment, not primary picks. For lower-risk AI picks see our Daily Picks, GG Picks, or Draw Picks. 🔞 18+ only · Never stake what you cannot afford to lose.

Premier League · Ethiopia

Fasil Ketema

1:0

Ethiopian Medhin

1-2 9.9%

1-1 9.3%

0-2 9.2%

0-1 8.6%

1-3 7%

🤖 AI tip: Away Win · 64% confidence

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 84.2% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

Form gap

Recent form leans to Ethiopian Medhin: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away Win

Over 1.5 Goals probability

84.2%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Fasil Ketema high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Ethiopian Medhin high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Fasil Ketema

L L W L L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Ethiopian Medhin

L D D D W W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

🕐 Kickoff 16:00 Lagos Share

Premier League · Ethiopia

Dire Dawa Kenema

2:1

Arba Minch Kenema

0-1 21%

0-0 18.8%

0-2 11.8%

1-1 11.6%

1-0 10.4%

🤖 AI tip: Draw or Away (X2) · 60% confidence

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 83% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 17.0% on the only losing outcome.

Away team stronger

Recent form leans to Arba Minch Kenema: 4 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Draw or Away (X2)

X2 · Draw or Away

83%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

17%

Only the uncovered result loses

Dire Dawa Kenema

D D L L D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 3:8 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Arba Minch Kenema

L L D L W D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.17

🕐 Kickoff 13:00 Lagos Share

Premier League · Ethiopia

Mekelle Kenema

3:0

Negelle Arsi

0-0 24.5%

0-1 20.4%

1-0 14.1%

1-1 11.7%

0-2 8.5%

🤖 AI tip: Draw · 60% confidence

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The model gives the draw a 42% chance and rates the two teams only 14.0 percentage points apart for an outright win.

High draw probability

Recent form leans to Negelle Arsi: 5 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Draw

Draw probability

42%

Model chance of a level finish

Win-probability gap

14%

Smaller gap means a more even matchup

Mekelle Kenema

L D W D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 2:7 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Negelle Arsi

W D L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

🕐 Kickoff 13:00 Lagos Share