⚠️ No prediction is guaranteed. If AI tips Over 2.5 Goals, consider playing the safer Over 1.5 Goals instead. Always gamble responsibly - only stake what you can afford to lose.

📈 VERIFIED TRACK RECORD

Our AI Picks: The Real Results

No cherry-picking. No spin. Every daily pick we've ever made is tracked, resolved, and shown below exactly as it happened. The system learns from every result to get stricter and sharper over time.

Total Picks Made
62
all time, verified
Overall Accuracy
48.4%
30 correct of 62
Best Month
49.1%
May 2026 · 57 picks
Current Streak
🔥 2
correct in a row
📊 Early Days vs Now
First 30 days
48.4%
62 picks
Last 30 days
38.9%
18 picks
↓ -9.5pp . A tough recent stretch; the system is adjusting its thresholds automatically.
📅 Month-by-Month
Apr 2026
40%
40%
5 picks
May 2026
49.1%
49.1%
57 picks

Green = ≥ 60% · Amber = 50–59% · Red = < 50% · Minimum 5 picks to qualify as representative.

🎯 Does Our Confidence Match Reality?

When our AI says 80% confident, does it actually win 80% of the time? The gap between stated and actual is the calibration error. A smaller gap means the AI is being more honest about what it knows.

50–59%
insufficient data
60–69%
insufficient data
70–79%
insufficient data
80–89%
48.3%
-36.2pp gap
90–100%
insufficient data

Gap = Actual win% − AI confidence midpoint. Negative means AI overstated confidence. Trend toward 0 = system improving its self-awareness.

🧠 How the System Has Evolved

Every month the system saves a snapshot of its current state. A rising threshold means the AI got stricter. A calibration error trending toward zero means it's getting more honest.

May 2026
Min threshold: 82% 30d accuracy: 47.60% Calib error: -34.9pp 2 cold markets 42 picks that month
Jun 2026
Min threshold: 82% 30d accuracy: 48.10% Calib error: -48.2pp 1 cold market 54 picks that month
🔞 18+ only · Past performance does not guarantee future results. Football is inherently unpredictable and even the best AI models will lose picks. This track record is published for transparency. Always treat predictions as informed opinions, not certainties. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. Terms
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