⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Brazil · Serie A
FT 3–2
Coritiba
vs
Bahia
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Coritiba and Bahia have a high scoring record, with Coritiba averaging 2 goals per game and Bahia scoring 1.33 goals per game. With Willian José starting for Bahia, their attacking threat increases. Coritiba's home strength and Bahia's away record make Home or Draw a viable optio...
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
FT 4–1
Singida Black Stars
vs
Mbeya City
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Singida Black Stars have a strong home record with 2.7 goals scored per game, while Mbeya City struggle to score away from home with 0.6 goals per game. The home team's attacking threat is significant, and their defensive strength is also notable. With no significant injuries or...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.