⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One
16:00
Victoria United
vs
Jeunes Fauves
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
99%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Victoria United has a higher pi-rating and expected goals. Jeunes Fauves concedes a lot. Victoria United's home form is not great but they are stronger. With a high BTTS rate and expected goals, Over 2.5 Goals is likely. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest pick due to high sc...
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
19:00
Hassania Agadir
vs
FUS Rabat
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
97%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Hassania Agadir faces a tough test against FUS Rabat, with a significant form gap between them. FUS Rabat's strong away record and high expected goals rate pose a major threat. Hassania Agadir's attacking threat is notable, but their defense has been leaky. With FUS Rabat's solid...
⚽ Pick #3
✅ AI Analysed
Algeria · Ligue 1
17:00
Ben Aknoun
vs
USM Alger
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
94%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Ben Aknoun and USM Alger have a high scoring record, with Ben Aknoun averaging 2 goals per game at home. USM Alger have a strong away record, but Ben Aknoun's home form is impressive. The match has a high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability. With no significant injuries or s...
⚽ Pick #4
✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One
16:00
Colombe
vs
Unisport Bafang
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
94%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Colombe has a strong home record, scoring 2 goals per game and conceding none. Unisport Bafang has a high scoring rate, with 3.6 goals per game. The Poisson model suggests a high probability of over 2.5 goals. With Colombe's home strength and Unisport Bafang's attacking threat, b...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.