⚽ Over 1.5 Goals

Today's Over 1.5 Picks

Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.

📊 Poisson Modelled 🔓 Free Forever

77.3%

7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy 17/22 picks landed

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro 18:00

CODM Meknès

18:00

Jun 25

Hassania Agadir

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

87%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

87%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS

70%

AI Analysis

CODM Meknès is in poor form, while Hassania Agadir has a high scoring rate. Hassania Agadir's attacking threat is significant, with an average of 1.83 goals scored per game. However, their defensive strength is a concern, with no clean sheets in their last 6 matches. The key play...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 70.2% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring rate

Recent form leans to Hassania Agadir: 4 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

BTTS probability

70.2%

Both teams to score

CODM Meknès BTTS

20%

Across recent matches

Hassania Agadir BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

CODM Meknès

L W L D L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

Hassania Agadir

L W L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5

📊 Poisson model: 87% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #2 ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro 18:00

Renaissance Berkane

18:00

Jun 25

FAR Rabat

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

86%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

86%

Over 2.5

66%

BTTS

64%

AI Analysis

Renaissance Berkane has a strong home record with 2 goals scored per game. FAR Rabat has a lower away scoring rate. The pi-ratings suggest FAR Rabat is slightly stronger, but the home advantage could negate this. With a high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability, this match is...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 65.7% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring rate

Recent form leans to Renaissance Berkane: 13 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

65.7%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Renaissance Berkane high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

FAR Rabat high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Renaissance Berkane

W W W W D L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

FAR Rabat

D L W D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

📊 Poisson model: 86% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #3 ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro 18:00

Kawkab Marrakech

18:00

Jun 25

FUS Rabat

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

86%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

86%

Over 2.5

65%

BTTS

54%

AI Analysis

FUS Rabat's strong away form and high expected goals rate give them an edge. Kawkab Marrakech's attack is potent but their defense is vulnerable. With Hafidi's injury, Kawkab Marrakech's threat is reduced. FUS Rabat's clean sheet percentage is high but Kawkab Marrakech can still...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 85.7% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

FUS Rabat form

Recent form leans to Kawkab Marrakech: 12 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.43 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away Win

Over 1.5 Goals probability

85.7%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Kawkab Marrakech high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

FUS Rabat high-scoring games

20%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Kawkab Marrakech

W W L L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

FUS Rabat

W D L W W

Form 3-1-1 Goals 8:2 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 0.4

📊 Poisson model: 86% chance of 2+ goals

How Over 1.5 Picks Work

Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.

82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.

5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.