⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
77.3%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy
17/22 picks landed
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
FT 2–0
Raja Casablanca
2:0
FT
Hassania Agadir
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Raja Casablanca's strong home form and Hassania Agadir's high scoring rate make for an exciting match. Raja Casablanca's defense is solid, but Hassania Agadir's attack can cause problems. With Raja Casablanca's pi-rating advantage, they are likely to dominate. Hassania Agadir's r...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.