⚽ Over 1.5 Goals

Today's Over 1.5 Picks

Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.

📊 Poisson Modelled 🔓 Free Forever

77.3%

7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy 17/22 picks landed

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI Analysed

South-Korea · K League 1 FT 1–1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

1:1

Jeju United FC

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

✅ Won

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

91%

Over 2.5

75%

BTTS

75%

AI Analysis

Gimcheon Sangmu FC is in poor form, while Jeju United FC has a slight edge. Both teams have high BTTS rates and scoring trends. The away team's pi-rating is higher, indicating a potential win. With both teams likely to score, Over 2.5 Goals is a strong bet. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 75% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring trends

Recent form leans to Jeju United FC: 4 points versus 6 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

75%

Both teams to score

Gimcheon Sangmu FC BTTS

60%

Across recent matches

Jeju United FC BTTS

60%

Across recent matches

Bookmaker implied chance

39%

Market does not fully agree

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

L D L L W

Form 1-1-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 2

Jeju United FC

L L W W L

Form 2-0-3 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.4

📊 Poisson model: 91% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #2 ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro FT 1–1

Hassania Agadir

1:1

Kawkab Marrakech

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

✅ Won

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

99%

Over 2.5

97%

BTTS

93%

AI Analysis

Hassania Agadir and Kawkab Marrakech have a high BTTS rate and average over 2.5 goals per game. Kawkab Marrakech's recent form is strong with 4 wins in their last 6 matches. Hassania Agadir's defense is a concern, conceding 2.5 goals per game. With both teams scoring frequently,...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 92.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to Kawkab Marrakech: 5 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

92.9%

Both teams to score

Hassania Agadir BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Kawkab Marrakech BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Hassania Agadir

L D L W L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:13 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.17

Kawkab Marrakech

D D W W L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📊 Poisson model: 99% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #3 ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro FT 1–2

Wydad AC

1:2

UTS Rabat

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

✅ Won

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

96%

Over 2.5

86%

BTTS

81%

AI Analysis

Wydad AC has a strong home record with 2 goals scored per game. UTS Rabat concedes 2 goals per game away. With Wydad AC's attacking threat and UTS Rabat's defensive vulnerability, goals are expected. Wydad AC's recent form shows promise, and their squad depth is a significant fac...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 80.7% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring rates

Recent form leans to UTS Rabat: 9 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

80.7%

Both teams to score

Wydad AC BTTS

33.3%

Across recent matches

UTS Rabat BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Wydad AC

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

UTS Rabat

W D W W L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📊 Poisson model: 96% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #4 ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro FT 1–3

Difaa EL Jadida

1:3

Renaissance Berkane

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

✅ Won

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

91%

Over 2.5

73%

BTTS

74%

AI Analysis

Difaa EL Jadida and Renaissance Berkane have a significant form gap, with Renaissance Berkane showing stronger attacking threat. Difaa EL Jadida's defensive strength is a concern, having conceded 1 goal per game on average. Renaissance Berkane's key players will be crucial in thi...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 73.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring rate

Recent form leans to Renaissance Berkane: 8 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

BTTS probability

73.9%

Both teams to score

Difaa EL Jadida BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Renaissance Berkane BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Difaa EL Jadida

D D D W D D

Form 1-5-0 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Renaissance Berkane

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

📊 Poisson model: 91% chance of 2+ goals

How Over 1.5 Picks Work

Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.

82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.

5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.