⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
77.3%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy
17/22 picks landed
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
South-Korea · K League 1
FT 0–0
Jeju United FC
0:0
FT
Daejeon Citizen
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
❌ Lost
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Jeju United FC is in poor form, while Daejeon Citizen has a slight edge in pi-ratings. Daejeon Citizen's away form is better than Jeju's home form. The expected goals suggest a high-scoring match. With both teams struggling, a draw is possible, but Daejeon's advantage makes them...
Jeju United FC
Daejeon Citizen
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
FT 4–0
Polisi Tanzania
4:0
FT
Tanzania Prisons
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Polisi Tanzania has a significant form gap over Tanzania Prisons. With a high expected goals rate, Polisi Tanzania poses a strong attacking threat. Tanzania Prisons' poor form and high concession rate make them vulnerable. The lack of H2H data means we rely on current form and pi...
Polisi Tanzania
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.