Germany · 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

1. FC Heidenheim 62.6% Draw 16.7% Dynamo Dresden 20.7%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Heidenheim: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

1. FC Heidenheim

L W L W D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:13 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2.17

Dynamo Dresden

W L W L W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

1. FC Heidenheim win62.6%

Draw16.7%

Dynamo Dresden win20.7%

Over 1.5 goals96.8%

Over 2.5 goals88.5%

Over 3.5 goals75.0%

Both teams to score82.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.6%

Goal in Both Halves84.6%

Home or Away (12)83.7%

Home or Draw (1X)78.4%

Draw No Bet - Home74.9%

Home Win62.7%

Draw or Away (X2)36.7%

Draw No Bet - Away25.1%

Away Win21.1%

Draw15.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals87.9%

Over 3.5 Goals74.6%

4+ Goals74.6%

Under 5.5 Goals60.0%

Over 4.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals42.5%

Over 5.5 Goals40.0%

2-4 Goals38.3%

3-4 Goals30.5%

Under 3.5 Goals25.4%

1-3 Goals24.2%

2-3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 3 Goals13.4%

Under 2.5 Goals12.1%

1-2 Goals10.9%

Exactly 2 Goals7.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score84.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.6%

Home Clean Sheet14.6%

Home Win to Nil14.0%

Away Clean Sheet4.1%

Away Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Away Over 0.584.8%

Home Over 1.582.3%

Home Over 2.561.5%

Home 3+ Goals61.5%

Away Over 1.556.8%

Away Over 2.530.0%

Away 3+ Goals30.0%

Away Exactly 128.0%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 220.9%

Away Exactly 014.6%

Home Exactly 113.0%

Home Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)44.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home44.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.9%

Home to win by 3+27.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 216.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.8%

Away to win by 110.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.0%

Away to win by 26.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.2%

Away to win by 3+4.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.7%

Home & Over 2.557.7%

Home & BTTS48.7%

Away & Over 2.518.8%

Away & BTTS17.6%

Draw & BTTS15.1%

Home & No BTTS14.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.8%

Home & Under 2.55.0%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Away & No BTTS3.5%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.0%

HT Over 1.567.0%

HT Home Win50.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Both Teams Score44.2%

HT/FT Home/Home43.4%

HT Under 1.533.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.8%

HT Away Win22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Away/Away12.5%

HT Under 0.510.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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