Germany · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

1. FC Köln 35.6% Draw 24.1% 1899 Hoffenheim 40.3%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1899 Hoffenheim: 5 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

1. FC Köln

L L D L D W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 9:14 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.33

1899 Hoffenheim

L W D W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

1. FC Köln 2wins ·2 draws ·1899 Hoffenheim 1wins

1. FC Köln 2-2 1899 HoffenheimFeb 21, 2026

1. FC Köln 1-0 1899 HoffenheimOct 3, 2025

1. FC Köln 1-1 1899 HoffenheimFeb 11, 2024

1. FC Köln 1-3 1899 HoffenheimSep 16, 2023

1. FC Köln 3-1 1899 HoffenheimApr 22, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

1. FC Köln win35.6%

Draw24.1%

1899 Hoffenheim win40.3%

Over 1.5 goals85.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.6%

Over 3.5 goals43.7%

Both teams to score96.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.8%

Goal in Both Halves

90.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.8%

Goal in Both Halves90.8%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Home or Draw (1X)67.8%

Draw No Bet - Home62.6%

Home Win52.0%

Draw or Away (X2)46.9%

Draw No Bet - Away37.4%

Away Win31.1%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals97.4%

Over 2.5 Goals93.5%

Over 3.5 Goals85.5%

4+ Goals85.5%

Over 4.5 Goals73.0%

Over 5.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals42.5%

Under 4.5 Goals27.0%

2-4 Goals24.4%

3-4 Goals20.5%

Under 3.5 Goals14.5%

1-3 Goals13.2%

2-3 Goals11.9%

Exactly 3 Goals8.0%

Under 2.5 Goals6.5%

1-2 Goals5.1%

Exactly 2 Goals3.9%

Under 1.5 Goals2.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

Away Team to Score92.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.4%

Home Clean Sheet6.3%

Home Win to Nil6.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 0.592.6%

Home Over 1.584.8%

Away Over 1.575.2%

Home Over 2.565.9%

Home 3+ Goals65.9%

Away Over 2.551.3%

Away 3+ Goals51.3%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 117.4%

Home Exactly 110.9%

Away Exactly 06.3%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.9%

Home to win by 3+21.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 213.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.3%

Away to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 28.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.7%

Home & Over 2.550.1%

Home & BTTS45.9%

Away & Over 2.529.8%

Away & BTTS28.1%

Draw & BTTS15.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Home & No BTTS6.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.9%

HT Over 1.576.8%

HT Both Teams Score56.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT Home Win44.6%

HT/FT Home/Home35.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win30.4%

HT Draw25.0%

HT Under 1.523.2%

HT/FT Away/Away19.5%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.7%

HT Under 0.56.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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