Germany · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Kick-off 14:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

1. FC Köln 45.1% Draw 24.8% Borussia Mönchengladbach 30.1%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Köln: 4 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

1. FC Köln

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:17 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.83

Borussia Mönchengladbach

L L L L W L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 11:19 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 3.17

Head to head · last 5

1. FC Köln 1wins ·3 draws ·Borussia Mönchengladbach 1wins

1. FC Köln 3-3 Borussia MönchengladbachMar 21, 2026

1. FC Köln 1-3 Borussia MönchengladbachNov 8, 2025

1. FC Köln 3-3 Borussia MönchengladbachMar 9, 2024

1. FC Köln 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachOct 22, 2023

1. FC Köln 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachApr 2, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

1. FC Köln win45.1%

Draw24.8%

Borussia Mönchengladbach win30.1%

Over 1.5 goals83.2%

Over 2.5 goals92.8%

Over 3.5 goals38.9%

Both teams to score74.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.8%

HT Over 0.5

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.3%

Goal in Both Halves86.3%

Home or Away (12)85.4%

Home or Draw (1X)83.3%

Draw No Bet - Home81.8%

Home Win69.9%

Draw or Away (X2)29.0%

Draw No Bet - Away18.2%

Away Win15.6%

Draw13.4%

Exactly 1 Goal2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals95.9%

Over 2.5 Goals89.2%

Over 3.5 Goals77.2%

4+ Goals77.2%

Over 4.5 Goals61.1%

Under 5.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Over 5.5 Goals43.8%

Under 4.5 Goals38.9%

2-4 Goals34.8%

3-4 Goals28.1%

Under 3.5 Goals22.8%

1-3 Goals21.2%

2-3 Goals18.7%

Exactly 3 Goals12.0%

Under 2.5 Goals10.8%

1-2 Goals9.2%

Exactly 2 Goals6.7%

Under 1.5 Goals4.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score82.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.9%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Home Win to Nil16.0%

Away Clean Sheet2.8%

Away Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.1%

Away Over 0.582.4%

Home Over 2.568.2%

Home 3+ Goals68.2%

Away Over 1.552.9%

Away Exactly 129.5%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 2.526.4%

Away 3+ Goals26.4%

Home Exactly 217.9%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 110.0%

Home Exactly 02.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)52.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home52.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.5%

Home to win by 3+35.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 217.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 117.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.3%

Away to win by 24.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.7%

Away to win by 3+2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.1%

Home & Over 2.565.2%

Home & BTTS53.9%

Home & No BTTS16.0%

Away & Over 2.514.0%

Away & BTTS13.3%

Draw & BTTS13.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Under 2.53.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Away & No BTTS2.3%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.1%

HT Over 1.569.5%

HT Home Win56.5%

HT/FT Home/Home50.4%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Both Teams Score44.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.5%

HT Draw24.9%

HT Away Win18.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT Under 0.58.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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