Germany · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

1. FC Köln 41.8% Draw 34.6% FC Schalke 04 23.5%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Köln: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: 1. FC Köln 1 wins, 1 draws, FC Schalke 04 0 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

1. FC Köln

L W L D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

FC Schalke 04

L L D W D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 2

1. FC Köln 1wins ·1 draws ·FC Schalke 04 0wins

1. FC Köln 0-0 FC Schalke 04Jan 29, 2023

1. FC Köln 3-1 FC Schalke 04Aug 7, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

1. FC Köln win41.8%

Draw34.6%

FC Schalke 04 win23.5%

Over 1.5 goals51.3%

Over 2.5 goals92.4%

Over 3.5 goals9.3%

Both teams to score85.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

86.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

84.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

84.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.8%

Home or Draw (1X)82.5%

Draw No Bet - Home79.5%

Both Halves Over 0.578.8%

Goal in Both Halves78.8%

Home Win66.6%

Draw or Away (X2)33.0%

Draw No Bet - Away20.5%

Away Win17.2%

Draw15.9%

Exactly 1 Goal5.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.2%

Over 2.5 Goals81.5%

Under 5.5 Goals71.8%

Over 3.5 Goals64.3%

4+ Goals64.3%

Under 4.5 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals48.1%

Over 4.5 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals36.4%

Under 3.5 Goals35.7%

1-3 Goals34.2%

2-3 Goals28.9%

Over 5.5 Goals28.2%

Under 2.5 Goals18.5%

Exactly 3 Goals17.3%

1-2 Goals17.0%

Exactly 2 Goals11.7%

Under 1.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.4%

Away Team to Score77.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.8%

Home Clean Sheet22.3%

Home Win to Nil21.1%

Away Clean Sheet5.3%

Away Win to Nil4.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.4%

Home Over 1.578.8%

Away Over 0.577.3%

Home Over 2.555.9%

Home 3+ Goals55.9%

Away Over 1.543.9%

Away Exactly 133.4%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 222.9%

Away Exactly 022.3%

Away Over 2.518.9%

Away 3+ Goals18.9%

Home Exactly 115.6%

Home Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away70.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.1%

Home to win by 3+29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 119.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 218.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 19.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.7%

Away to win by 24.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.6%

Away to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.0%

Home & Over 2.558.0%

Home & BTTS45.5%

Home & No BTTS21.1%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

Away & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.5%

Away & BTTS13.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

Home & Under 2.58.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Away & No BTTS4.1%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.4%

HT Over 1.559.2%

HT Home Win52.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT/FT Home/Home46.1%

HT Under 1.540.8%

HT Both Teams Score35.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT Away Win19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT Under 0.513.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions