Germany · 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

1. FC Magdeburg 75.5% Draw 15.3% FC St. Pauli 9.2%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to 1. FC Magdeburg: 9 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

1. FC Magdeburg

L W W W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

FC St. Pauli

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

1. FC Magdeburg win75.5%

Draw15.3%

FC St. Pauli win9.2%

Over 1.5 goals90.7%

Over 2.5 goals74.4%

Over 3.5 goals54.3%

Both teams to score60.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.5%

Home or Draw (1X)

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.8%

Draw No Bet - Home88.5%

Home or Away (12)85.9%

Home Win76.0%

Both Halves Over 0.572.9%

Goal in Both Halves72.9%

Draw or Away (X2)23.7%

Draw13.8%

Draw No Bet - Away11.5%

Away Win9.9%

Exactly 1 Goal8.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals89.7%

Under 5.5 Goals80.5%

Over 2.5 Goals74.2%

Under 4.5 Goals65.4%

2-4 Goals55.1%

Over 3.5 Goals54.1%

4+ Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals45.9%

1-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.6%

Over 4.5 Goals34.6%

Under 2.5 Goals25.8%

1-2 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 5.5 Goals19.5%

Exactly 2 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals10.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.2%

Away Team to Score62.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.8%

Home Clean Sheet37.0%

Home Win to Nil35.0%

Away Clean Sheet5.5%

Away Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.2%

Home Over 1.578.2%

Away Over 0.562.7%

Home Over 2.555.1%

Home 3+ Goals55.1%

Away Exactly 037.0%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Over 1.526.0%

Home Exactly 223.2%

Away Exactly 218.2%

Home Exactly 116.0%

Away Over 2.57.8%

Away 3+ Goals7.8%

Home Exactly 05.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)43.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away43.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.9%

Home to win by 3+35.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 220.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.7%

Home to win by 119.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.7%

Away to win by 16.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.561.5%

BTTS & Over 2.553.3%

Home & BTTS41.0%

Home & No BTTS35.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.6%

Home & Under 2.514.5%

Draw & BTTS11.7%

Draw & Under 2.57.9%

Away & Over 2.56.9%

Away & BTTS6.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.8%

Away & No BTTS3.5%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.6%

HT Home Win58.3%

HT/FT Home/Home54.1%

HT Over 1.552.2%

HT Under 1.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw29.0%

HT Both Teams Score26.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.3%

HT Under 0.517.4%

HT Away Win12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Away/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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