Germany · 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

1. FC Magdeburg 27.5% Draw 17.8% Holstein Kiel 54.7%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Magdeburg: 9 points versus 5 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.93 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

1. FC Magdeburg

W L L W W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1.6

Holstein Kiel

D D L L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

1. FC Magdeburg 1wins ·0 draws ·Holstein Kiel 0wins

1. FC Magdeburg 3-1 Holstein KielMay 9, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

1. FC Magdeburg win27.5%

Draw17.8%

Holstein Kiel win54.7%

Over 1.5 goals97.2%

Over 2.5 goals89.6%

Over 3.5 goals77.0%

Both teams to score85.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.7%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.2%

Home Team to Score

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.7%

Goal in Both Halves85.7%

Home or Away (12)82.7%

Draw or Away (X2)71.7%

Draw No Bet - Away66.3%

Away Win54.8%

Home or Draw (1X)44.7%

Draw No Bet - Home33.7%

Home Win27.8%

Draw16.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals89.2%

Over 3.5 Goals76.7%

4+ Goals76.7%

Over 4.5 Goals60.1%

Under 5.5 Goals57.3%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals42.7%

Under 4.5 Goals39.9%

2-4 Goals36.2%

3-4 Goals29.0%

Under 3.5 Goals23.3%

1-3 Goals22.4%

2-3 Goals19.7%

Exactly 3 Goals12.5%

Under 2.5 Goals10.8%

1-2 Goals9.8%

Exactly 2 Goals7.1%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.8%

Home Team to Score88.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.5%

Away Clean Sheet10.8%

Away Win to Nil10.2%

Home Clean Sheet4.7%

Home Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 0.588.8%

Away Over 1.580.3%

Home Over 1.564.8%

Away Over 2.558.3%

Away 3+ Goals58.3%

Home Over 2.538.2%

Home 3+ Goals38.2%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 123.9%

Away Exactly 222.0%

Away Exactly 114.5%

Home Exactly 010.8%

Away Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)54.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.1%

Away to win by 3+22.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.1%

Away to win by 215.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.9%

Home to win by 112.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.1%

Home to win by 28.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.9%

Home to win by 3+6.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.1%

Away & Over 2.550.9%

Away & BTTS44.6%

Home & Over 2.525.4%

Home & BTTS23.6%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

Away & No BTTS10.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Home & No BTTS4.2%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.7%

HT Over 1.568.6%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

HT Both Teams Score47.2%

HT Away Win45.3%

HT/FT Away/Away36.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.4%

HT Home Win27.4%

HT Draw27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Home/Home17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.1%

HT Under 0.59.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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