Germany · 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

1. FC Nürnberg 56.4% Draw 19.5% Dynamo Dresden 24.1%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Dynamo Dresden: 5 points versus 6 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

1. FC Nürnberg

D W D

Form 1-2-0 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Dynamo Dresden

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 4:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

1. FC Nürnberg win56.4%

Draw19.5%

Dynamo Dresden win24.1%

Over 1.5 goals94.4%

Over 2.5 goals82.2%

Over 3.5 goals65.0%

Both teams to score78.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

89.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Both Halves Over 0.579.1%

Goal in Both Halves79.1%

Home or Draw (1X)75.0%

Draw No Bet - Home69.7%

Home Win57.0%

Draw or Away (X2)42.8%

Draw No Bet - Away30.3%

Away Win24.8%

Draw18.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.5%

Over 2.5 Goals82.0%

Under 5.5 Goals71.2%

Over 3.5 Goals64.9%

4+ Goals64.9%

Under 4.5 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals47.6%

Over 4.5 Goals45.9%

3-4 Goals36.2%

Under 3.5 Goals35.1%

1-3 Goals33.7%

Over 5.5 Goals28.8%

2-3 Goals28.6%

Under 2.5 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals17.1%

1-2 Goals16.6%

Exactly 2 Goals11.5%

Under 1.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score82.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.7%

Home Clean Sheet16.9%

Home Win to Nil15.7%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil5.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Away Over 0.582.9%

Home Over 1.574.6%

Away Over 1.553.0%

Home Over 2.550.0%

Home 3+ Goals50.0%

Away Exactly 130.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Over 2.526.3%

Away 3+ Goals26.3%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 118.3%

Away Exactly 016.9%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.4%

Home to win by 3+21.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 119.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 112.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.8%

Away to win by 3+4.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.7%

Home & Over 2.549.8%

Home & BTTS41.3%

Away & Over 2.520.9%

Away & BTTS19.1%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Home & No BTTS15.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Home & Under 2.57.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.7%

Away & No BTTS5.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.6%

HT Over 1.559.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Home Win45.6%

HT Under 1.540.4%

HT Both Teams Score38.6%

HT/FT Home/Home37.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.9%

HT Away Win24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT/FT Away/Away14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT Under 0.513.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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