Germany · 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg

Kick-off 19:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

1. FC Nürnberg 64.9% Draw 17.4% VfL Wolfsburg 17.7%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Nürnberg: 11 points versus 8 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.63 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

1. FC Nürnberg

W W D W D

Form 3-2-0 Goals 14:6 Scored/game 2.8 Conceded/game 1.2

VfL Wolfsburg

W D L D W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

1. FC Nürnberg win64.9%

Draw17.4%

VfL Wolfsburg win17.7%

Over 1.5 goals94.7%

Over 2.5 goals83.1%

Over 3.5 goals66.4%

Both teams to score76.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.6%

HT Over 0.5

87.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Home or Draw (1X)81.4%

Both Halves Over 0.579.9%

Goal in Both Halves79.9%

Draw No Bet - Home78.1%

Home Win65.4%

Draw or Away (X2)34.3%

Draw No Bet - Away21.9%

Away Win18.3%

Draw16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.8%

Over 2.5 Goals82.8%

Under 5.5 Goals69.9%

Over 3.5 Goals66.2%

4+ Goals66.2%

Under 4.5 Goals52.7%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals47.3%

2-4 Goals46.5%

3-4 Goals35.5%

Under 3.5 Goals33.8%

1-3 Goals32.4%

Over 5.5 Goals30.1%

2-3 Goals27.6%

Under 2.5 Goals17.2%

Exactly 3 Goals16.6%

1-2 Goals15.8%

Exactly 2 Goals11.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.5%

Away Team to Score79.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.9%

Home Clean Sheet20.4%

Home Win to Nil19.4%

Away Clean Sheet5.2%

Away Win to Nil4.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.5%

Home Over 1.579.2%

Away Over 0.579.2%

Home Over 2.556.5%

Home 3+ Goals56.5%

Away Over 1.546.8%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Home Exactly 222.7%

Away Over 2.521.2%

Away 3+ Goals21.2%

Away Exactly 020.4%

Home Exactly 115.3%

Home Exactly 05.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.4%

Home to win by 3+28.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.2%

Away to win by 110.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 25.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.1%

Home & Over 2.557.6%

Home & BTTS46.0%

Home & No BTTS19.4%

Away & Over 2.515.3%

Draw & BTTS14.9%

Away & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Away & No BTTS4.1%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.1%

HT Over 1.560.6%

HT Home Win51.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT/FT Home/Home45.1%

HT Under 1.539.4%

HT Both Teams Score37.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.5%

HT Away Win20.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.7%

HT Under 0.512.9%

HT/FT Away/Away10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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