UEFA Europa League

1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

1899 Hoffenheim 17.7% Draw 17.4% Beşiktaş 64.9%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 3 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

1899 Hoffenheim

L L W L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:17 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.83

Beşiktaş

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

1899 Hoffenheim win17.7%

Draw17.4%

Beşiktaş win64.9%

Over 1.5 goals94.7%

Over 2.5 goals83.0%

Over 3.5 goals66.3%

Both teams to score76.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.6%

HT Over 0.5

87.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Draw or Away (X2)81.4%

Both Halves Over 0.579.9%

Goal in Both Halves79.9%

Draw No Bet - Away78.1%

Away Win65.3%

Home or Draw (1X)34.3%

Draw No Bet - Home21.9%

Home Win18.3%

Draw16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals82.7%

Under 5.5 Goals69.9%

Over 3.5 Goals66.1%

4+ Goals66.1%

Under 4.5 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals47.2%

2-4 Goals46.5%

3-4 Goals35.5%

Under 3.5 Goals33.9%

1-3 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals30.1%

2-3 Goals27.6%

Under 2.5 Goals17.3%

Exactly 3 Goals16.6%

1-2 Goals15.8%

Exactly 2 Goals11.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.5%

Home Team to Score79.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.0%

Away Clean Sheet20.5%

Away Win to Nil19.4%

Home Clean Sheet5.2%

Home Win to Nil4.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.5%

Home Over 0.579.2%

Away Over 1.579.1%

Away Over 2.556.4%

Away 3+ Goals56.4%

Home Over 1.546.8%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Over 2.521.1%

Home 3+ Goals21.1%

Home Exactly 020.5%

Away Exactly 115.3%

Away Exactly 05.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home53.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away46.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away28.3%

Away to win by 3+28.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.2%

Away to win by 119.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.8%

Away to win by 217.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 110.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.1%

Home to win by 25.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.9%

Home to win by 3+2.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.1%

Away & Over 2.557.5%

Away & BTTS45.9%

Away & No BTTS19.4%

Home & Over 2.515.3%

Draw & BTTS15.0%

Home & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

Away & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & No BTTS4.1%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.0%

HT Over 1.560.6%

HT Away Win51.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT/FT Away/Away45.1%

HT Under 1.539.4%

HT Both Teams Score37.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.5%

HT Home Win20.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.7%

HT Under 0.513.0%

HT/FT Home/Home10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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