Germany · Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

1899 Hoffenheim 64.4% Draw 20.3% Hamburger SV 15.2%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Hamburger SV: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: 1899 Hoffenheim 2 wins, 0 draws, Hamburger SV 0 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

1899 Hoffenheim

L W L L L W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Hamburger SV

W L L L D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:16 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.67

Head to head · last 2

1899 Hoffenheim 2wins ·0 draws ·Hamburger SV 0wins

1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Hamburger SVApr 25, 2026

1899 Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SVDec 13, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

1899 Hoffenheim win64.4%

Draw20.3%

Hamburger SV win15.2%

Over 1.5 goals84.2%

Over 2.5 goals93.4%

Over 3.5 goals41.0%

Both teams to score76.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.6%

HT Over 0.5

90.7%

Home or Draw (1X)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home91.6%

Home or Draw (1X)90.5%

Home or Away (12)88.6%

Both Halves Over 0.585.8%

Goal in Both Halves85.8%

Home Win81.1%

Draw or Away (X2)16.9%

Draw9.4%

Draw No Bet - Away8.4%

Away Win7.5%

Exactly 1 Goal2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals94.8%

Over 2.5 Goals87.7%

Over 3.5 Goals75.2%

4+ Goals75.2%

Over 4.5 Goals58.8%

Under 5.5 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Over 5.5 Goals41.4%

Under 4.5 Goals41.2%

2-4 Goals36.0%

3-4 Goals28.9%

Under 3.5 Goals24.8%

1-3 Goals22.2%

2-3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 3 Goals12.5%

Under 2.5 Goals12.3%

1-2 Goals9.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score71.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.8%

Home Clean Sheet26.4%

Home Win to Nil25.9%

Away Clean Sheet1.9%

Away Win to Nil1.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.6%

Home Over 2.573.8%

Home 3+ Goals73.8%

Away Over 0.571.6%

Away Over 1.537.0%

Away Exactly 134.6%

Away Exactly 026.4%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Exactly 214.8%

Away Over 2.514.3%

Away 3+ Goals14.3%

Home Exactly 17.5%

Home Exactly 01.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away79.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)65.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away65.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home49.2%

Home to win by 3+49.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away48.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home32.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home18.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 217.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.8%

Away to win by 14.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.575.1%

BTTS & Over 2.567.6%

Home & BTTS55.2%

Home & No BTTS25.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.1%

Draw & BTTS8.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Away & Over 2.56.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.2%

Away & BTTS6.1%

Home & Under 2.56.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.1%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS1.4%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.7%

HT Over 1.568.7%

HT Home Win66.4%

HT/FT Home/Home62.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score37.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.3%

HT Draw22.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT Away Win11.7%

HT Under 0.59.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Away4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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