UEFA Europa League

1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

1899 Hoffenheim 33.6% Draw 20.1% Lyon 46.3%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lyon: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

1899 Hoffenheim

W L L W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 11:14 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Lyon

W L D W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

1899 Hoffenheim win33.6%

Draw20.1%

Lyon win46.3%

Over 1.5 goals95.4%

Over 2.5 goals84.6%

Over 3.5 goals68.7%

Both teams to score82.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.8%

Away Over 0.5

91.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Both Halves Over 0.581.1%

Goal in Both Halves81.1%

Draw or Away (X2)65.7%

Draw No Bet - Away57.8%

Home or Draw (1X)53.0%

Away Win46.9%

Draw No Bet - Home42.2%

Home Win34.2%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.6%

Over 2.5 Goals84.4%

Over 3.5 Goals68.6%

4+ Goals68.6%

Under 5.5 Goals67.3%

Over 4.5 Goals50.0%

Under 4.5 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals44.5%

3-4 Goals34.4%

Over 5.5 Goals32.7%

Under 3.5 Goals31.4%

1-3 Goals30.3%

2-3 Goals26.0%

Exactly 3 Goals15.8%

Under 2.5 Goals15.6%

1-2 Goals14.5%

Exactly 2 Goals10.2%

Under 1.5 Goals5.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.8%

Home Team to Score88.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.8%

Away Clean Sheet11.5%

Away Win to Nil10.6%

Home Clean Sheet8.0%

Home Win to Nil7.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.8%

Home Over 0.588.3%

Away Over 1.571.5%

Home Over 1.563.5%

Away Over 2.546.0%

Away 3+ Goals46.0%

Home Over 2.536.6%

Home 3+ Goals36.6%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 124.9%

Away Exactly 120.3%

Home Exactly 011.5%

Away Exactly 08.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home70.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away28.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 115.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.3%

Away to win by 3+15.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 213.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.0%

Home to win by 210.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.8%

Home to win by 3+8.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.2%

Away & Over 2.541.6%

Away & BTTS36.3%

Home & Over 2.530.0%

Home & BTTS27.1%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

Away & No BTTS10.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.2%

Home & No BTTS7.1%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

Away & Under 2.55.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.8%

HT Over 1.562.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Both Teams Score42.2%

HT Away Win39.2%

HT Under 1.537.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win31.0%

HT/FT Away/Away30.2%

HT Draw29.8%

HT/FT Home/Home21.1%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.3%

HT Under 0.512.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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