UEFA Champions League

Aarhus vs Sabah FA

Kick-off 17:30 · Wed, Aug 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away Win

89% confidence

Aarhus 3.0% Draw 8.0% Sabah FA 89.0%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 43%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

Strong form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 18%

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

High xG

80%

Away -1.5 Handicap

Dominant away team

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Aarhus has a significant form gap compared to Sabah FA, with the latter showing strong attacking threat and defensive strength. Sabah FA's recent wins indicate a high level of performance. The lack of H2H significance means we rely on current form. With Sabah FA's high xG and Aarhus's struggles, the away team is likely to dominate.

💡

Top Tip

Sabah FA is poised to win due to their superior form and strength

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 12.1%, based on the goal model.

Strong form

Numbers behind this Away Win

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.1%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

18%

Market does not fully agree

Aarhus

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 4:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2

Sabah FA

W W W W

Form 4-0-0 Goals 7:1 Scored/game 1.75 Conceded/game 0.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Aarhus win3.0%

Draw8.0%

Sabah FA win89.0%

Over 1.5 goals91.7%

Over 2.5 goals77.0%

Over 3.5 goals57.7%

Both teams to score42.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.7%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away96.8%

Draw or Away (X2)96.0%

Home or Away (12)91.7%

Away Win88.8%

Both Halves Over 0.575.1%

Goal in Both Halves75.1%

Home or Draw (1X)10.3%

Draw7.3%

Exactly 1 Goal6.9%

Draw No Bet - Home3.2%

Home Win3.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals90.4%

Under 5.5 Goals78.3%

Over 2.5 Goals76.3%

Under 4.5 Goals62.4%

Over 3.5 Goals57.1%

4+ Goals57.1%

2-4 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Under 3.5 Goals42.9%

1-3 Goals40.2%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals37.6%

2-3 Goals33.3%

Under 2.5 Goals23.7%

Over 5.5 Goals21.7%

1-2 Goals21.0%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals9.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)58.0%

Away Clean Sheet55.7%

Away Win to Nil54.0%

Home Team to Score43.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)42.0%

Home Clean Sheet3.0%

Home Win to Nil1.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 1.585.4%

Away Over 2.566.9%

Away 3+ Goals66.9%

Home Exactly 055.7%

Home Over 0.543.3%

Home Exactly 132.0%

Away Exactly 218.5%

Home Over 1.511.3%

Away Exactly 110.6%

Home Exactly 29.2%

Away Exactly 03.0%

Home Over 2.52.1%

Home 3+ Goals2.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)89.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)88.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home79.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)74.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away74.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home63.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)55.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away55.0%

Away to win by 3+55.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)44.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home44.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away35.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home24.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away19.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 219.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 114.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home10.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away9.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw2.4%

Home to win by 12.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.5%

Home to win by 20.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.572.4%

Away & No BTTS54.0%

BTTS & Over 2.538.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.537.7%

Away & BTTS34.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.3%

Away & Under 2.516.4%

Draw & BTTS5.6%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Over 2.52.2%

Home & Over 2.51.7%

Home & BTTS1.7%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Home & No BTTS1.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Away Win71.1%

HT/FT Away/Away69.3%

HT Over 1.554.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT Both Teams Score18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.8%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT Home Win5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Home/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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