UEFA Europa Conference League

Aarhus vs SC Braga

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Aarhus 21.8% Draw 21.1% SC Braga 57.1%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to SC Braga: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Aarhus

L L L W W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 8:15 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.5

SC Braga

W L L L D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Aarhus win21.8%

Draw21.1%

SC Braga win57.1%

Over 1.5 goals90.8%

Over 2.5 goals74.2%

Over 3.5 goals54.1%

Both teams to score71.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.8%

Away Over 0.5

90.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.8%

Draw or Away (X2)77.1%

Both Halves Over 0.572.7%

Goal in Both Halves72.7%

Draw No Bet - Away71.8%

Away Win58.0%

Home or Draw (1X)41.9%

Draw No Bet - Home28.2%

Home Win22.8%

Draw19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal8.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.8%

Under 5.5 Goals80.6%

Over 2.5 Goals74.2%

Under 4.5 Goals65.5%

2-4 Goals55.2%

Over 3.5 Goals54.0%

4+ Goals54.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals46.0%

1-3 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.7%

Over 4.5 Goals34.5%

Under 2.5 Goals25.8%

1-2 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 5.5 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.8%

Home Team to Score77.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.0%

Away Clean Sheet22.9%

Away Win to Nil20.8%

Home Clean Sheet9.1%

Home Win to Nil7.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.8%

Home Over 0.577.0%

Away Over 1.569.1%

Home Over 1.543.2%

Away Over 2.542.9%

Away 3+ Goals42.9%

Home Exactly 133.7%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Home Exactly 022.9%

Away Exactly 121.8%

Home Over 2.518.4%

Home 3+ Goals18.4%

Away Exactly 09.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)41.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home41.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.9%

Away to win by 120.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.1%

Away to win by 3+20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 217.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.8%

Home to win by 112.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.4%

Home to win by 26.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.6%

Home to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.6%

Away & Over 2.547.0%

Away & BTTS37.2%

Away & No BTTS20.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.4%

Home & Over 2.517.4%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Home & BTTS15.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.5%

Away & Under 2.511.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.7%

Draw & Under 2.59.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Home & No BTTS7.0%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.5%

HT Over 1.552.0%

HT Under 1.548.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT Away Win45.2%

HT/FT Away/Away38.1%

HT Draw32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score32.0%

HT Home Win22.3%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT Under 0.517.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.8%

HT/FT Home/Home13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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