Scotland · Premiership

Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Aug 1

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

49% confidence

Aberdeen 23.5% Draw 27.7% Heart Of Midlothian 48.9%

Over 2.5 - 42% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

74%

Home or Draw (1X)

Aberdeen home advantage

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Aberdeen and Heart of Midlothian have a mixed head-to-head history. Aberdeen's home form is decent, with 1.2 goals scored per game. Heart of Midlothian's away form is weaker, with 1.2 goals scored per game. With both teams having a high BTTS rate, goals are expected. Chris Cadden's signing may boost Aberdeen's right-back position. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 74% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Aberdeen: 10 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

BTTS probability

74%

Both teams to score

Aberdeen BTTS

33.3%

Across recent matches

Heart Of Midlothian BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Aberdeen

L L W D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Heart Of Midlothian

L L L W D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Aberdeen 1wins ·2 draws ·Heart Of Midlothian 2wins

Aberdeen 0-1 Heart Of MidlothianFeb 28, 2026

Aberdeen 1-0 Heart Of MidlothianNov 23, 2025

Aberdeen 0-2 Heart Of MidlothianAug 4, 2025

Aberdeen 0-0 Heart Of MidlothianJan 12, 2025

Aberdeen 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianDec 1, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Aberdeen win23.5%

Draw27.7%

Heart Of Midlothian win48.9%

Over 1.5 goals68.3%

Over 2.5 goals41.5%

Over 3.5 goals21.0%

Both teams to score74.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.6%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.2%

Home or Draw (1X)73.6%

Draw No Bet - Home66.3%

Both Halves Over 0.565.4%

Goal in Both Halves65.4%

Home Win51.8%

Draw or Away (X2)48.2%

Draw No Bet - Away33.7%

Away Win26.4%

Draw21.8%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.8%

Over 1.5 Goals84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.1%

1-3 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.9%

4+ Goals42.9%

2-3 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.1%

1-2 Goals31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals15.3%

Over 5.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.2%

Away Team to Score74.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.8%

Home Clean Sheet25.6%

Home Win to Nil22.0%

Away Clean Sheet13.8%

Away Win to Nil10.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.2%

Away Over 0.574.4%

Home Over 1.558.9%

Away Over 1.539.6%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Home Over 2.531.8%

Home 3+ Goals31.8%

Home Exactly 127.3%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 025.6%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Away Over 2.515.8%

Away 3+ Goals15.8%

Home Exactly 013.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.4%

Home to win by 3+14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 27.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.554.6%

Home & Over 2.537.9%

Home & BTTS29.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.5%

Home & No BTTS22.0%

Away & Over 2.518.3%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Away & BTTS16.1%

Home & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.1%

Away & No BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

Away & Under 2.58.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Under 1.555.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.4%

HT Home Win40.0%

HT Draw36.1%

HT/FT Home/Home32.8%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score27.1%

HT Away Win23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT/FT Away/Away15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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