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Scotland · Premiership

Aberdeen vs Hibernian

Kick-off 18:45 · Sat, Nov 7
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
45% confidence
Aberdeen 28.6% Draw 26.4% Hibernian 45.0%
Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 47%
🎯 Best Pick
Under 4.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
92%
▸ Show 1 alternative
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
74%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Hibernian: 3 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.
Head-to-head record: Aberdeen 2 wins, 0 draws, Hibernian 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-1
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
13.3%
Exact-score model probability
Aberdeen
L L L W L L
Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2
Hibernian
L W D D W W
Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1
Head to head · last 5
Aberdeen 2wins ·0 draws ·Hibernian 3wins
Aberdeen 2-0 HibernianApr 11, 2026
Aberdeen 0-2 HibernianDec 30, 2025
Aberdeen 1-2 HibernianOct 26, 2025
Aberdeen 1-0 HibernianApr 26, 2025
Aberdeen 0-2 HibernianFeb 1, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Aberdeen win28.6%
Draw26.4%
Hibernian win45.0%
Over 1.5 goals71.3%
Over 2.5 goals45.8%
Over 3.5 goals24.4%
Both teams to score46.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals
91.9%
Over 0.5 Goals
89.7%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)
86.3%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)71.5%
Draw or Away (X2)65.9%
Home or Draw (1X)62.7%
Draw No Bet - Away52.3%
Draw No Bet - Home47.7%
Both Halves Over 0.545.7%
Goal in Both Halves45.7%
Away Win37.3%
Home Win34.1%
Draw28.5%
Exactly 1 Goal23.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals97.1%
Under 4.5 Goals91.9%
Over 0.5 Goals89.7%
Under 3.5 Goals80.4%
1-3 Goals70.2%
Over 1.5 Goals66.3%
Under 2.5 Goals60.3%
2-4 Goals58.2%
Total Goals Even50.5%
1-2 Goals50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.5%
2-3 Goals46.8%
Over 2.5 Goals39.7%
Under 1.5 Goals33.7%
3-4 Goals31.6%
Exactly 2 Goals26.6%
Exactly 3 Goals20.2%
Over 3.5 Goals19.6%
4+ Goals19.6%
Under 0.5 Goals10.3%
Exactly 0 Goals10.3%
Over 4.5 Goals8.1%
Over 5.5 Goals2.9%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score69.0%
Home Team to Score66.9%
No Both Teams Score (NG)53.9%
Both Teams Score (GG)46.1%
Away Clean Sheet33.1%
Home Clean Sheet31.0%
Away Win to Nil22.8%
Home Win to Nil20.8%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.569.0%
Home Over 0.566.9%
Home Exactly 136.6%
Away Exactly 136.3%
Home Exactly 033.1%
Away Over 1.532.6%
Away Exactly 031.0%
Home Over 1.530.3%
Away Exactly 221.2%
Home Exactly 220.2%
Away Over 2.511.4%
Away 3+ Goals11.4%
Home Over 2.510.1%
Home 3+ Goals10.1%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.8%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.9%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.3%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.3%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.3%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.9%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.7%
Away to win by 121.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.5%
Home to win by 120.5%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.7%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.6%
Away to win by 210.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.5%
Home to win by 29.5%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.1%
Away to win by 3+5.1%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.2%
Home to win by 3+4.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
Combos (15)
No BTTS & Under 2.547.0%
BTTS & Over 2.532.8%
Draw & Under 2.523.6%
Away & No BTTS22.8%
Home & No BTTS20.8%
Away & Under 2.519.1%
Away & Over 2.518.3%
Draw & BTTS18.3%
Home & Under 2.517.6%
Home & Over 2.516.5%
Away & BTTS14.5%
Home & BTTS13.4%
BTTS & Under 2.513.3%
No BTTS & Over 2.56.9%
Draw & Over 2.55.0%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Under 1.572.7%
HT Over 0.564.1%
HT Draw46.0%
2nd Half More Goals41.5%
HT Under 0.535.9%
1st Half More Goals30.2%
Equal Goals Each Half28.3%
HT Away Win28.0%
HT Over 1.527.3%
HT Home Win26.0%
HT/FT Away/Away21.5%
HT/FT Home/Home19.4%
HT/FT Draw/Draw18.8%
HT Both Teams Score16.0%
HT/FT Draw/Away14.1%
HT/FT Draw/Home13.1%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%
HT/FT Home/Away1.8%
HT/FT Away/Home1.7%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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