Scotland · Premiership

Aberdeen vs Rangers

Kick-off 12:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Aberdeen 20.5% Draw 22.7% Rangers 56.8%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rangers: 7 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Aberdeen

L W L L W D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Rangers

W D L L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Aberdeen 0wins ·1 draws ·Rangers 4wins

Aberdeen 1-4 RangersMar 21, 2026

Aberdeen 0-2 RangersJan 11, 2026

Aberdeen 0-2 RangersJan 6, 2026

Aberdeen 0-4 RangersMay 11, 2025

Aberdeen 2-2 RangersApr 13, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Aberdeen win20.5%

Draw22.7%

Rangers win56.8%

Over 1.5 goals80.6%

Over 2.5 goals58.0%

Over 3.5 goals35.6%

Both teams to score76.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.5%

Goal in Both Halves75.5%

Home or Draw (1X)60.9%

Draw or Away (X2)59.4%

Draw No Bet - Home51.0%

Draw No Bet - Away49.0%

Home Win40.5%

Away Win39.0%

Draw20.4%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals77.8%

Under 5.5 Goals76.8%

Under 4.5 Goals60.7%

Over 3.5 Goals58.8%

4+ Goals58.8%

2-4 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals41.2%

1-3 Goals39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals39.3%

3-4 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals32.8%

Over 5.5 Goals23.2%

Under 2.5 Goals22.2%

1-2 Goals20.6%

Exactly 3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.4%

Away Team to Score86.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.0%

Home Clean Sheet13.0%

Away Clean Sheet12.5%

Home Win to Nil11.4%

Away Win to Nil10.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.4%

Away Over 0.586.9%

Home Over 1.561.4%

Away Over 1.560.3%

Home Over 2.534.4%

Home 3+ Goals34.4%

Away Over 2.533.3%

Away 3+ Goals33.3%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.6%

Home Exactly 126.0%

Away Exactly 013.0%

Home Exactly 012.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 117.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.7%

Home to win by 3+10.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.9%

Away to win by 3+9.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.1%

Home & Over 2.533.6%

Away & Over 2.532.3%

Home & BTTS29.1%

Away & BTTS28.1%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

Home & No BTTS11.4%

Away & No BTTS10.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Home & Under 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Away & Under 2.56.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.3%

HT Over 1.555.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.8%

HT Both Teams Score36.4%

HT Home Win34.3%

HT Away Win33.3%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home25.2%

HT/FT Away/Away24.1%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT Under 0.515.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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