Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Abha vs Al-Ettifaq

Kick-off 17:00 · Fri, Sep 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

Abha 7.8% Draw 9.3% Al-Ettifaq 82.9%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Ettifaq: 1 points versus 7 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

Abha

L D L

Form 0-1-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

Al-Ettifaq

L L W D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 13:12 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Abha win7.8%

Draw9.3%

Al-Ettifaq win82.9%

Over 1.5 goals98.6%

Over 2.5 goals94.0%

Over 3.5 goals85.2%

Both teams to score79.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Away

91.2%

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.4%

Goal in Both Halves

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away91.2%

Both Halves Over 0.590.4%

Goal in Both Halves90.4%

Draw or Away (X2)88.3%

Home or Away (12)87.4%

Away Win79.8%

Home or Draw (1X)16.2%

Draw No Bet - Home8.8%

Draw8.5%

Home Win7.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals90.2%

Over 3.5 Goals81.8%

4+ Goals81.8%

Over 4.5 Goals68.9%

Over 5.5 Goals53.2%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals46.8%

Under 4.5 Goals31.1%

2-4 Goals25.5%

3-4 Goals21.3%

Under 3.5 Goals18.2%

1-3 Goals13.9%

2-3 Goals12.6%

Under 2.5 Goals9.8%

Exactly 3 Goals8.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

1-2 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 2 Goals4.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score76.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.1%

Away Clean Sheet19.2%

Away Win to Nil19.0%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Over 0.576.8%

Home Over 1.545.9%

Home Exactly 130.9%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Home Over 2.521.0%

Home 3+ Goals21.0%

Home Exactly 019.2%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)85.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home75.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away66.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home61.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)51.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away51.0%

Away to win by 3+51.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home44.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away34.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home29.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away20.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home16.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw14.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away10.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.6%

Home to win by 14.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.0%

Home to win by 22.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.576.5%

BTTS & Over 2.574.3%

Away & BTTS60.8%

Away & No BTTS19.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.0%

Draw & BTTS8.3%

Home & Over 2.57.0%

Home & BTTS6.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Home & No BTTS0.9%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.6%

HT Over 1.576.0%

HT Away Win67.8%

HT/FT Away/Away64.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.4%

HT Both Teams Score44.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.0%

HT Draw19.8%

Equal Goals Each Half16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.3%

HT Home Win12.3%

HT Under 0.56.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Home/Home4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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