Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC

Kick-off 16:25 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Abha 50.6% Draw 25.6% Al-Faisaly FC 23.8%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Faisaly FC: 1 points versus 2 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.5%

Exact-score model probability

Abha

L L L D L

Form 0-1-4 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.8

Al-Faisaly FC

L D D L L

Form 0-2-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Abha win50.6%

Draw25.6%

Al-Faisaly FC win23.8%

Over 1.5 goals82.3%

Over 2.5 goals58.9%

Over 3.5 goals36.5%

Both teams to score60.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Home or Draw (1X)74.8%

Draw No Bet - Home67.4%

Both Halves Over 0.560.8%

Goal in Both Halves60.8%

Home Win52.0%

Draw or Away (X2)48.0%

Draw No Bet - Away32.6%

Away Win25.2%

Draw22.8%

Exactly 1 Goal14.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Under 5.5 Goals91.0%

Over 1.5 Goals80.9%

Under 4.5 Goals80.6%

Under 3.5 Goals63.5%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals58.9%

1-3 Goals58.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.4%

Under 2.5 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.5%

4+ Goals36.5%

1-2 Goals36.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals19.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.1%

Over 5.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.1%

Away Team to Score70.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.8%

Home Clean Sheet29.6%

Home Win to Nil24.9%

Away Clean Sheet15.9%

Away Win to Nil11.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.1%

Away Over 0.570.3%

Home Over 1.554.9%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.534.3%

Away Exactly 029.6%

Home Exactly 129.2%

Home Over 2.528.0%

Home 3+ Goals28.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 015.9%

Away Over 2.512.4%

Away 3+ Goals12.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.7%

Home to win by 122.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.4%

Home to win by 3+13.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.2%

Away to win by 3+3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.6%

Home & Over 2.535.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.5%

Home & BTTS27.1%

Home & No BTTS24.9%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Home & Under 2.516.6%

Away & Over 2.516.0%

Draw & Under 2.515.2%

Away & BTTS14.0%

Away & No BTTS11.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Away & Under 2.59.2%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.7%

HT Under 1.560.0%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.0%

HT Home Win39.4%

HT Draw38.1%

HT/FT Home/Home32.6%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.3%

HT Both Teams Score23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT Away Win22.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT/FT Away/Away14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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