Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Abha vs Al Kholood

Kick-off 16:20 · Mon, Oct 19

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Abha 28.7% Draw 30.3% Al Kholood 41.0%

Over 2.5 - 45% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al Kholood: 1 points versus 10 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

Abha

L L L D L

Form 0-1-4 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.8

Al Kholood

W D W D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Abha win28.7%

Draw30.3%

Al Kholood win41.0%

Over 1.5 goals72.2%

Over 2.5 goals44.7%

Over 3.5 goals23.5%

Both teams to score51.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.0%

Draw or Away (X2)69.6%

Draw No Bet - Away58.4%

Home or Draw (1X)57.4%

Both Halves Over 0.549.7%

Goal in Both Halves49.7%

Away Win42.6%

Draw No Bet - Home41.6%

Home Win30.4%

Draw27.0%

Exactly 1 Goal21.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.0%

Over 0.5 Goals91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals89.6%

Under 3.5 Goals76.5%

Over 1.5 Goals70.5%

1-3 Goals68.0%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 2.5 Goals55.3%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.8%

Over 2.5 Goals44.7%

3-4 Goals34.3%

Under 1.5 Goals29.5%

Exactly 2 Goals25.8%

Over 3.5 Goals23.5%

4+ Goals23.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Over 4.5 Goals10.4%

Under 0.5 Goals8.5%

Exactly 0 Goals8.5%

Over 5.5 Goals4.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score74.3%

Home Team to Score66.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.7%

Away Clean Sheet33.2%

Home Clean Sheet25.7%

Away Win to Nil24.6%

Home Win to Nil17.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.574.3%

Home Over 0.566.8%

Away Over 1.539.4%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Home Exactly 033.2%

Home Over 1.530.2%

Away Exactly 025.7%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Home Exactly 220.2%

Away Over 2.515.7%

Away 3+ Goals15.7%

Home Over 2.510.0%

Home 3+ Goals10.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away69.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.7%

Away to win by 122.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 212.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 28.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.3%

Away to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.6%

Home to win by 3+3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.542.5%

BTTS & Over 2.536.9%

Away & No BTTS24.6%

Away & Over 2.523.2%

Draw & Under 2.521.3%

Away & Under 2.519.4%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Away & BTTS18.0%

Home & No BTTS17.2%

Home & Over 2.515.8%

Home & Under 2.514.6%

Home & BTTS13.2%

BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.6%

HT Over 0.567.0%

HT Draw43.8%

2nd Half More Goals42.4%

HT Under 0.533.0%

HT Away Win31.8%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.4%

Equal Goals Each Half27.0%

HT/FT Away/Away25.2%

HT Home Win24.3%

HT Both Teams Score17.9%

HT/FT Home/Home17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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