UEFA Europa League

AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

AC Milan 38.0% Draw 22.2% Ferencvarosi TC 39.8%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Ferencvarosi TC: 13 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

AC Milan

W L W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:8 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Ferencvarosi TC

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 10:4 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

AC Milan win38.0%

Draw22.2%

Ferencvarosi TC win39.8%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals77.9%

Over 3.5 goals58.9%

Both teams to score77.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.6%

Goal in Both Halves75.6%

Draw or Away (X2)61.0%

Home or Draw (1X)59.3%

Draw No Bet - Away51.1%

Draw No Bet - Home48.9%

Away Win40.7%

Home Win38.9%

Draw20.4%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals77.8%

Under 5.5 Goals76.7%

Under 4.5 Goals60.6%

Over 3.5 Goals58.9%

4+ Goals58.9%

2-4 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals41.1%

Over 4.5 Goals39.4%

1-3 Goals39.4%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.7%

Over 5.5 Goals23.3%

Under 2.5 Goals22.2%

1-2 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.5%

Home Team to Score86.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.9%

Away Clean Sheet13.1%

Home Clean Sheet12.5%

Away Win to Nil11.4%

Home Win to Nil10.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.5%

Home Over 0.586.9%

Away Over 1.561.6%

Home Over 1.560.3%

Away Over 2.534.5%

Away 3+ Goals34.5%

Home Over 2.533.3%

Home 3+ Goals33.3%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.6%

Away Exactly 125.9%

Home Exactly 013.1%

Away Exactly 012.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 117.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 211.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.7%

Away to win by 3+10.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.9%

Home to win by 3+9.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.2%

Away & Over 2.533.8%

Home & Over 2.532.2%

Away & BTTS29.3%

Home & BTTS28.1%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.2%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

Away & No BTTS11.4%

Home & No BTTS10.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Away & Under 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Home & Under 2.56.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.3%

HT Over 1.555.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.7%

HT Both Teams Score36.5%

HT Away Win34.4%

HT Home Win33.3%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Away/Away25.3%

HT/FT Home/Home24.1%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT Under 0.515.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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