Portugal · Primeira Liga

Academico Viseu vs Estoril

Kick-off 20:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Academico Viseu 49.0% Draw 24.9% Estoril 26.0%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Academico Viseu: 10 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.3%

Exact-score model probability

Academico Viseu

W W W L D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Estoril

L L D L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 2:9 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Academico Viseu win49.0%

Draw24.9%

Estoril win26.0%

Over 1.5 goals74.2%

Over 2.5 goals49.5%

Over 3.5 goals27.5%

Both teams to score48.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)77.6%

Home or Away (12)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Home69.8%

Home Win51.8%

Both Halves Over 0.549.2%

Goal in Both Halves49.2%

Draw or Away (X2)48.2%

Draw No Bet - Away30.2%

Draw25.8%

Away Win22.4%

Exactly 1 Goal21.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.2%

Over 0.5 Goals91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals89.9%

Under 3.5 Goals77.0%

Over 1.5 Goals70.0%

1-3 Goals68.3%

2-4 Goals59.9%

Under 2.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.2%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals34.0%

Under 1.5 Goals30.0%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 3.5 Goals23.0%

4+ Goals23.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Over 4.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals8.7%

Exactly 0 Goals8.7%

Over 5.5 Goals3.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.4%

Away Team to Score59.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.8%

Home Clean Sheet40.3%

Home Win to Nil31.6%

Away Clean Sheet21.6%

Away Win to Nil12.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.4%

Away Over 0.559.7%

Home Over 1.545.2%

Away Exactly 040.3%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Over 1.523.1%

Home Exactly 021.6%

Home Over 2.519.9%

Home 3+ Goals19.9%

Away Exactly 216.6%

Away Over 2.56.4%

Away 3+ Goals6.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.1%

Home to win by 125.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 114.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.9%

Home to win by 3+10.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.543.8%

BTTS & Over 2.534.7%

Home & No BTTS31.6%

Home & Over 2.528.3%

Home & Under 2.523.6%

Draw & Under 2.520.8%

Home & BTTS20.3%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Away & No BTTS12.9%

BTTS & Under 2.512.1%

Away & Under 2.511.5%

Away & Over 2.510.9%

Away & BTTS9.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.0%

HT Over 0.566.6%

HT Draw43.4%

2nd Half More Goals42.3%

HT Home Win37.4%

HT Under 0.533.4%

HT/FT Home/Home31.6%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.0%

Equal Goals Each Half27.1%

HT Away Win19.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.9%

HT Both Teams Score16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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