Portugal · Primeira Liga

Academico Viseu vs FC Porto

Kick-off 18:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Academico Viseu 16.3% Draw 24.0% FC Porto 59.7%

Over 2.5 - 39% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Porto: 2 points versus 15 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Academico Viseu

D L D

Form 0-2-1 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

FC Porto

W W W W L W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Academico Viseu win16.3%

Draw24.0%

FC Porto win59.7%

Over 1.5 goals64.6%

Over 2.5 goals38.5%

Over 3.5 goals18.6%

Both teams to score76.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.6%

HT Over 0.5

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.8%

Draw or Away (X2)83.5%

Both Halves Over 0.582.0%

Goal in Both Halves82.0%

Draw No Bet - Away81.2%

Away Win68.9%

Home or Draw (1X)30.5%

Draw No Bet - Home18.8%

Home Win15.9%

Draw14.6%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.6%

Over 2.5 Goals85.0%

Over 3.5 Goals69.7%

4+ Goals69.7%

Under 5.5 Goals66.0%

Over 4.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals48.6%

2-4 Goals43.2%

Over 5.5 Goals34.0%

3-4 Goals33.6%

Under 3.5 Goals30.3%

1-3 Goals28.9%

2-3 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals15.3%

Under 2.5 Goals15.0%

1-2 Goals13.6%

Exactly 2 Goals9.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.3%

Home Team to Score78.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.3%

Away Clean Sheet20.5%

Away Win to Nil19.7%

Home Clean Sheet4.1%

Home Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.3%

Away Over 1.582.3%

Home Over 0.578.9%

Away Over 2.561.4%

Away 3+ Goals61.4%

Home Over 1.546.6%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Home Over 2.521.0%

Home 3+ Goals21.0%

Away Exactly 220.9%

Home Exactly 020.5%

Away Exactly 113.0%

Away Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)68.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home66.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away50.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home48.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away32.5%

Away to win by 3+32.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home30.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away18.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.0%

Away to win by 218.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.0%

Home to win by 19.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 24.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.4%

Away & Over 2.561.9%

Away & BTTS49.2%

Away & No BTTS19.7%

Draw & BTTS13.8%

Home & Over 2.513.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.5%

Home & BTTS12.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

Away & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Home & No BTTS3.2%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.4%

HT Over 1.563.3%

HT Away Win54.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT/FT Away/Away48.6%

HT Both Teams Score38.8%

HT Under 1.536.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.0%

HT Home Win18.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.8%

HT Under 0.511.6%

HT/FT Home/Home9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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