Portugal · Primeira Liga

Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Academico Viseu 63.1% Draw 20.7% Rio Ave 16.2%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Academico Viseu: 15 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.8%

Exact-score model probability

Academico Viseu

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Rio Ave

L W L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:18 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 3

📈 Probability Breakdown

Academico Viseu win63.1%

Draw20.7%

Rio Ave win16.2%

Over 1.5 goals74.1%

Over 2.5 goals50.1%

Over 3.5 goals28.1%

Both teams to score58.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.1%

Home Over 0.5

91.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

87.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.5%

Draw No Bet - Home83.7%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Home Win69.2%

Both Halves Over 0.566.4%

Goal in Both Halves66.4%

Draw or Away (X2)30.7%

Draw17.3%

Draw No Bet - Away16.3%

Away Win13.4%

Exactly 1 Goal11.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Under 5.5 Goals87.0%

Over 1.5 Goals85.3%

Under 4.5 Goals74.4%

Over 2.5 Goals66.1%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 3.5 Goals55.8%

1-3 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.2%

4+ Goals44.2%

2-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals33.9%

1-2 Goals30.5%

Over 4.5 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.2%

Under 1.5 Goals14.7%

Over 5.5 Goals13.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.1%

Away Team to Score62.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.1%

Home Clean Sheet37.5%

Home Win to Nil34.2%

Away Clean Sheet8.8%

Away Win to Nil5.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.1%

Home Over 1.569.7%

Away Over 0.562.4%

Home Over 2.543.7%

Home 3+ Goals43.7%

Away Exactly 037.5%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Over 1.525.7%

Home Exactly 121.4%

Away Exactly 218.0%

Home Exactly 08.8%

Away Over 2.57.7%

Away 3+ Goals7.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away73.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.7%

Home to win by 3+26.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.2%

Home to win by 122.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.2%

Home to win by 220.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 19.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.551.4%

BTTS & Over 2.549.0%

Home & BTTS35.0%

Home & No BTTS34.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.9%

Home & Under 2.517.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.1%

Draw & BTTS14.0%

Draw & Under 2.511.2%

Away & Over 2.58.6%

Away & BTTS7.9%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.1%

Away & No BTTS5.5%

Away & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.4%

HT Under 1.554.7%

HT Home Win51.9%

HT/FT Home/Home46.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.3%

HT Draw33.3%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.8%

HT Away Win14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%

HT/FT Away/Away7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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