Portugal · Primeira Liga

Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara

Kick-off 18:00 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Academico Viseu 42.3% Draw 29.7% Santa Clara 28.0%

Over 2.5 - 32% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Academico Viseu

Form 0-1-0 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2

Santa Clara

D L W D W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Academico Viseu win42.3%

Draw29.7%

Santa Clara win28.0%

Over 1.5 goals58.4%

Over 2.5 goals31.8%

Over 3.5 goals14.0%

Both teams to score84.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.6%

Away Team to Score

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.2%

Goal in Both Halves85.2%

Home or Away (12)82.7%

Home or Draw (1X)72.7%

Draw No Bet - Home67.5%

Home Win55.8%

Draw or Away (X2)43.7%

Draw No Bet - Away32.5%

Away Win26.9%

Draw16.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.1%

Over 2.5 Goals88.6%

Over 3.5 Goals75.7%

4+ Goals75.7%

Over 4.5 Goals58.9%

Under 5.5 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals41.4%

Under 4.5 Goals41.1%

2-4 Goals37.2%

3-4 Goals29.8%

Under 3.5 Goals24.3%

1-3 Goals23.3%

2-3 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals12.9%

Under 2.5 Goals11.4%

1-2 Goals10.4%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.7%

Away Team to Score88.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.2%

Home Clean Sheet11.5%

Home Win to Nil10.9%

Away Clean Sheet4.8%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.7%

Away Over 0.588.1%

Home Over 1.580.2%

Away Over 1.563.3%

Home Over 2.558.0%

Home 3+ Goals58.0%

Away Over 2.536.5%

Away 3+ Goals36.5%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.8%

Home Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 114.6%

Away Exactly 011.5%

Home Exactly 04.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.6%

Home to win by 3+22.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 112.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 27.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.4%

Away to win by 3+6.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.2%

Home & Over 2.551.6%

Home & BTTS44.9%

Away & Over 2.524.4%

Away & BTTS22.7%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.6%

Home & No BTTS10.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Over 1.567.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score46.3%

HT Home Win45.9%

HT/FT Home/Home37.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.2%

HT Draw27.4%

HT Away Win26.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Away/Away16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.3%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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