Portugal · Primeira Liga

Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC

Kick-off 20:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Academico Viseu 32.9% Draw 30.0% Vitória SC 37.1%

Over 2.5 - 31% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Academico Viseu: 5 points versus 4 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.7%

Exact-score model probability

Academico Viseu

W L D L D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.6

Vitória SC

D L W L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Academico Viseu win32.9%

Draw30.0%

Vitória SC win37.1%

Over 1.5 goals57.0%

Over 2.5 goals30.6%

Over 3.5 goals13.2%

Both teams to score63.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.2%

Draw or Away (X2)63.6%

Both Halves Over 0.561.8%

Goal in Both Halves61.8%

Home or Draw (1X)60.1%

Draw No Bet - Away52.3%

Draw No Bet - Home47.7%

Away Win39.9%

Home Win36.3%

Draw23.8%

Exactly 1 Goal13.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Under 5.5 Goals90.4%

Over 1.5 Goals81.8%

Under 4.5 Goals79.5%

Under 3.5 Goals62.1%

2-4 Goals61.3%

Over 2.5 Goals60.3%

1-3 Goals57.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.9%

3-4 Goals39.8%

Under 2.5 Goals39.7%

Over 3.5 Goals37.9%

4+ Goals37.9%

1-2 Goals35.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals20.5%

Under 1.5 Goals18.2%

Over 5.5 Goals9.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.8%

Home Team to Score78.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.7%

Away Clean Sheet21.9%

Home Clean Sheet20.2%

Away Win to Nil17.5%

Home Win to Nil15.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.8%

Home Over 0.578.1%

Away Over 1.547.5%

Home Over 1.544.8%

Home Exactly 133.3%

Away Exactly 132.3%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 021.9%

Away Over 2.521.7%

Away 3+ Goals21.7%

Away Exactly 020.2%

Home Over 2.519.6%

Home 3+ Goals19.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 120.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.9%

Away to win by 211.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 210.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.0%

Away to win by 3+8.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.7%

Home to win by 3+6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.0%

Away & Over 2.527.1%

Home & Over 2.524.5%

Away & BTTS22.4%

Home & BTTS20.6%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS17.5%

Home & No BTTS15.8%

Draw & Under 2.515.2%

Away & Under 2.512.7%

Home & Under 2.511.8%

BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.4%

HT Under 1.559.1%

2nd Half More Goals45.0%

HT Over 1.540.9%

HT Draw38.2%

HT Away Win32.0%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Home Win29.8%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

HT Under 0.524.6%

HT/FT Away/Away24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half23.5%

HT/FT Home/Home21.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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