Netherlands · Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard

Kick-off 15:45 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

ADO Den Haag 27.7% Draw 28.7% Fortuna Sittard 43.6%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Fortuna Sittard: 1 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.9%

Exact-score model probability

ADO Den Haag

D L L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Fortuna Sittard

W L W D L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

ADO Den Haag win27.7%

Draw28.7%

Fortuna Sittard win43.6%

Over 1.5 goals74.7%

Over 2.5 goals90.6%

Over 3.5 goals26.4%

Both teams to score86.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.1%

Home Team to Score

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.7%

Goal in Both Halves86.7%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Draw or Away (X2)71.6%

Draw No Bet - Away66.4%

Away Win55.0%

Home or Draw (1X)44.4%

Draw No Bet - Home33.6%

Home Win27.8%

Draw16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals90.1%

Over 3.5 Goals78.4%

4+ Goals78.4%

Over 4.5 Goals62.5%

Under 5.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals45.2%

Under 4.5 Goals37.5%

2-4 Goals34.1%

3-4 Goals27.6%

Under 3.5 Goals21.6%

1-3 Goals20.6%

2-3 Goals18.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.7%

Under 2.5 Goals9.9%

1-2 Goals8.9%

Exactly 2 Goals6.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.1%

Home Team to Score89.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.5%

Away Clean Sheet10.1%

Away Win to Nil9.6%

Home Clean Sheet4.4%

Home Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.1%

Home Over 0.589.4%

Away Over 1.581.4%

Home Over 1.566.3%

Away Over 2.560.0%

Away 3+ Goals60.0%

Home Over 2.539.9%

Home 3+ Goals39.9%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Exactly 221.4%

Away Exactly 113.7%

Home Exactly 010.1%

Away Exactly 04.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home61.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.5%

Away to win by 3+22.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 117.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 215.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.8%

Home to win by 112.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 28.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.0%

Home to win by 3+7.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.3%

Away & Over 2.551.5%

Away & BTTS45.4%

Home & Over 2.525.7%

Home & BTTS23.9%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

Away & No BTTS9.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.2%

Home & No BTTS3.9%

Draw & Under 2.53.6%

Away & Under 2.53.5%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Home & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.3%

HT Over 1.570.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.4%

HT Both Teams Score48.6%

HT Away Win45.7%

HT/FT Away/Away37.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.0%

HT Home Win27.6%

HT Draw26.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.2%

HT/FT Home/Home17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.9%

HT Under 0.58.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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