Netherlands · Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen

Kick-off 11:15 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

ADO Den Haag 25.9% Draw 34.0% Groningen 40.1%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Groningen: 1 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

ADO Den Haag

L L L L L D

Form 0-1-5 Goals 4:16 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.67

Groningen

W L W W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

ADO Den Haag win25.9%

Draw34.0%

Groningen win40.1%

Over 1.5 goals59.8%

Over 2.5 goals91.3%

Over 3.5 goals13.5%

Both teams to score87.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.7%

Home Team to Score

91.0%

Home Over 0.5

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.3%

Goal in Both Halves87.3%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)67.8%

Draw No Bet - Away61.7%

Away Win50.9%

Home or Draw (1X)48.5%

Draw No Bet - Home38.3%

Home Win31.6%

Draw16.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.9%

Over 2.5 Goals90.8%

Over 3.5 Goals79.6%

4+ Goals79.6%

Over 4.5 Goals64.1%

Under 5.5 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals47.0%

Under 4.5 Goals35.9%

2-4 Goals32.8%

3-4 Goals26.7%

Under 3.5 Goals20.4%

1-3 Goals19.5%

2-3 Goals17.3%

Exactly 3 Goals11.2%

Under 2.5 Goals9.2%

1-2 Goals8.3%

Exactly 2 Goals6.1%

Under 1.5 Goals3.1%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.8%

Home Team to Score91.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.3%

Away Clean Sheet8.5%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Home Clean Sheet4.7%

Home Win to Nil4.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 0.591.0%

Away Over 1.580.4%

Home Over 1.570.1%

Away Over 2.558.5%

Away 3+ Goals58.5%

Home Over 2.544.4%

Home 3+ Goals44.4%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 120.9%

Away Exactly 114.3%

Home Exactly 08.5%

Away Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)50.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.8%

Away to win by 3+19.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 113.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.1%

Home to win by 29.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.8%

Home to win by 3+8.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.7%

Away & Over 2.547.8%

Away & BTTS42.8%

Home & Over 2.529.4%

Home & BTTS27.4%

Draw & BTTS16.5%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Home & No BTTS4.3%

Draw & Under 2.53.4%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Home & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.7%

HT Over 1.571.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Both Teams Score50.1%

HT Away Win43.0%

HT/FT Away/Away33.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win30.2%

HT Under 1.529.0%

HT Draw26.8%

HT/FT Home/Home19.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT Under 0.58.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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