Netherlands · Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

ADO Den Haag 26.1% Draw 27.9% Heerenveen 46.0%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Heerenveen: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

ADO Den Haag

W D D L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Heerenveen

W L W D L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

ADO Den Haag win26.1%

Draw27.9%

Heerenveen win46.0%

Over 1.5 goals77.5%

Over 2.5 goals93.8%

Over 3.5 goals29.6%

Both teams to score87.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.0%

Goal in Both Halves

90.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.0%

Goal in Both Halves90.0%

Home or Away (12)84.7%

Draw or Away (X2)79.5%

Draw No Bet - Away77.8%

Away Win65.9%

Home or Draw (1X)32.4%

Draw No Bet - Home22.2%

Home Win18.8%

Draw13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals92.2%

Over 3.5 Goals83.4%

4+ Goals83.4%

Over 4.5 Goals70.1%

Over 5.5 Goals54.2%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Under 5.5 Goals45.8%

Under 4.5 Goals29.9%

2-4 Goals26.5%

3-4 Goals22.1%

Under 3.5 Goals16.6%

1-3 Goals14.6%

2-3 Goals13.2%

Exactly 3 Goals8.8%

Under 2.5 Goals7.8%

1-2 Goals5.8%

Exactly 2 Goals4.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score87.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.6%

Away Clean Sheet10.9%

Away Win to Nil10.7%

Home Clean Sheet2.2%

Home Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.587.8%

Home Over 0.587.4%

Away Over 2.571.9%

Away 3+ Goals71.9%

Home Over 1.563.4%

Home Over 2.537.0%

Home 3+ Goals37.0%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 124.0%

Away Exactly 215.9%

Home Exactly 010.9%

Away Exactly 18.3%

Away Exactly 02.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home78.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home48.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)33.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away33.5%

Away to win by 3+33.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 216.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 19.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.3%

Home to win by 25.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.1%

Home to win by 3+4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.4%

Away & Over 2.563.2%

Away & BTTS55.3%

Home & Over 2.517.7%

Home & BTTS16.9%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

Away & No BTTS10.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Home & No BTTS1.9%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.4%

HT Over 1.575.3%

HT Away Win54.6%

HT Both Teams Score51.6%

2nd Half More Goals51.4%

HT/FT Away/Away47.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.7%

HT Draw23.8%

HT Home Win21.6%

Equal Goals Each Half16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.8%

HT/FT Home/Home11.2%

HT Under 0.56.6%

HT/FT Home/Away6.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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