Netherlands · Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

ADO Den Haag 4.8% Draw 9.9% PSV Eindhoven 84.2%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to PSV Eindhoven: 3 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

ADO Den Haag

D D L L D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 8:13 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.17

PSV Eindhoven

L W L W D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

ADO Den Haag win4.8%

Draw9.9%

PSV Eindhoven win84.2%

Over 1.5 goals93.0%

Over 2.5 goals93.4%

Over 3.5 goals63.7%

Both teams to score76.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Over 1.5

89.9%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.7%

Goal in Both Halves

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away92.6%

Both Halves Over 0.589.7%

Goal in Both Halves89.7%

Draw or Away (X2)89.5%

Home or Away (12)88.1%

Away Win81.6%

Home or Draw (1X)14.4%

Draw7.9%

Draw No Bet - Home7.4%

Home Win6.5%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals89.6%

Over 3.5 Goals80.5%

4+ Goals80.5%

Over 4.5 Goals67.0%

Over 5.5 Goals50.8%

Under 5.5 Goals49.2%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals33.0%

2-4 Goals27.2%

3-4 Goals22.6%

Under 3.5 Goals19.5%

1-3 Goals15.2%

2-3 Goals13.7%

Under 2.5 Goals10.4%

Exactly 3 Goals9.1%

1-2 Goals6.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Exactly 2 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score73.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.1%

Away Clean Sheet22.2%

Away Win to Nil22.0%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Over 0.573.8%

Home Over 1.541.2%

Home Exactly 132.5%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Home Exactly 022.2%

Home Over 2.517.5%

Home 3+ Goals17.5%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)84.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)81.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home73.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away69.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)59.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home59.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)53.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away53.4%

Away to win by 3+53.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)42.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home42.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)36.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away36.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home26.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away22.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw14.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 112.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away11.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.0%

Home to win by 14.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.7%

Home to win by 21.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.577.9%

BTTS & Over 2.571.2%

Away & BTTS59.6%

Away & No BTTS22.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.4%

Draw & BTTS7.6%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Home & Over 2.55.8%

Home & BTTS5.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & Under 2.53.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Home & No BTTS0.9%

Home & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.1%

HT Over 1.574.8%

HT Away Win69.5%

HT/FT Away/Away66.1%

2nd Half More Goals51.2%

HT Both Teams Score41.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.525.2%

HT Draw19.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%

HT Home Win11.0%

HT Under 0.56.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Home/Home3.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions