Netherlands · Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam

Full time · 3:1

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

39% confidence

ADO Den Haag 32.9% Draw 28.5% Sparta Rotterdam 38.5%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%

✓ Pick was correct (3:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

76%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Sparta Rotterdam win at 38.5%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sparta Rotterdam: 5 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

ADO Den Haag win

32.9%

1X2 model probability

Draw

28.5%

1X2 model probability

Sparta Rotterdam win

38.5%

1X2 model probability

ADO Den Haag

L L W D D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.67

Sparta Rotterdam

W L W D L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:17 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

ADO Den Haag win32.9%

Draw28.5%

Sparta Rotterdam win38.5%

Over 1.5 goals76.0%

Over 2.5 goals99.1%

Over 3.5 goals28.1%

Both teams to score97.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

92.0%

Home Over 0.5

92.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.597.1%

Goal in Both Halves97.1%

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Draw or Away (X2)57.6%

Draw No Bet - Away55.0%

Home or Draw (1X)49.5%

Draw No Bet - Home45.0%

Away Win43.9%

Home Win35.9%

Draw13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.3%

Over 2.5 Goals92.7%

Over 3.5 Goals90.8%

4+ Goals90.8%

Over 4.5 Goals86.7%

Over 5.5 Goals79.6%

Total Goals Odd46.7%

Total Goals Even46.7%

Under 5.5 Goals20.4%

Under 4.5 Goals13.3%

Under 3.5 Goals9.2%

Under 2.5 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.7%

2-4 Goals6.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

3-4 Goals6.0%

1-3 Goals2.7%

2-3 Goals2.6%

Exactly 3 Goals1.9%

1-2 Goals0.8%

Exactly 2 Goals0.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.4%

Home Team to Score92.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.5%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.4%

Home Over 0.592.0%

Away Over 1.587.5%

Home Over 1.585.7%

Away Over 2.576.6%

Away 3+ Goals76.6%

Home Over 2.572.6%

Home 3+ Goals72.6%

Home Exactly 213.1%

Away Exactly 211.0%

Home Exactly 16.3%

Away Exactly 14.9%

Home Exactly 01.5%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home82.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home49.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.2%

Away to win by 3+19.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.9%

Home to win by 3+13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.3%

Away to win by 113.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.3%

Home to win by 112.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 211.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 29.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.6%

Away & Over 2.543.7%

Away & BTTS42.4%

Home & Over 2.535.7%

Home & BTTS34.8%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.1%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.50.5%

Draw & Under 2.50.3%

Away & Under 2.50.3%

BTTS & Under 2.50.3%

Home & Under 2.50.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.597.9%

HT Over 1.590.0%

HT Both Teams Score73.3%

2nd Half More Goals54.6%

HT Away Win42.6%

HT Home Win36.4%

HT/FT Away/Away32.1%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT/FT Home/Home25.0%

HT Draw21.0%

Equal Goals Each Half13.2%

HT Under 1.510.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.8%

HT/FT Home/Away6.5%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT Under 0.52.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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