UEFA Champions League

AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Aug 26

📊 Our Prediction

Under 4.5 Goals

61% confidence

AEK Athens FC 19.4% Draw 61.2% Levski Sofia 19.4%

Over 2.5 - 2% BTTS - 7%

🎯 Best Pick

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 54.9%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Numbers behind this Under 4.5 Goals

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

54.9%

Exact-score model probability

AEK Athens FC

Form 0-1-0 Goals 0:0 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 0

Levski Sofia

D W W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:2 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.33

Head to head · last 1

AEK Athens FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Levski Sofia 0wins

AEK Athens FC 0-0 Levski SofiaAug 18, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

AEK Athens FC win19.4%

Draw61.2%

Levski Sofia win19.4%

Over 1.5 goals12.8%

Over 2.5 goals2.3%

Over 3.5 goals0.3%

Both teams to score7.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 1.5 Goals

87.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

80.0%

Draw or Away (X2)

80.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.0%

Draw or Away (X2)80.0%

Draw59.9%

Draw No Bet - Home50.0%

Draw No Bet - Away50.0%

Home or Away (12)40.1%

Exactly 1 Goal32.9%

Home Win20.0%

Away Win20.0%

Both Halves Over 0.56.7%

Goal in Both Halves6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 4.5 Goals100.0%

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 3.5 Goals99.7%

Under 2.5 Goals97.7%

Under 1.5 Goals87.8%

Total Goals Even65.1%

Under 0.5 Goals54.9%

Exactly 0 Goals54.9%

Over 0.5 Goals45.1%

1-3 Goals44.8%

1-2 Goals42.8%

Total Goals Odd34.9%

Over 1.5 Goals12.2%

2-4 Goals12.2%

2-3 Goals11.9%

Exactly 2 Goals9.9%

Over 2.5 Goals2.3%

3-4 Goals2.3%

Exactly 3 Goals2.0%

Over 3.5 Goals0.3%

4+ Goals0.3%

Over 4.5 Goals0.0%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)93.3%

Home Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Home Win to Nil19.2%

Away Win to Nil19.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Exactly 074.1%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

Away to win by 117.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.5%

Home to win by 22.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.592.7%

Draw & Under 2.559.8%

Home & No BTTS19.2%

Away & No BTTS19.2%

Home & Under 2.518.9%

Away & Under 2.518.9%

Draw & BTTS5.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

BTTS & Over 2.51.8%

Home & Over 2.51.1%

Away & Over 2.51.1%

Home & BTTS0.8%

Away & BTTS0.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.50.5%

Draw & Over 2.50.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.596.9%

HT Draw77.7%

HT Under 0.576.3%

Equal Goals Each Half59.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw57.4%

HT Over 0.523.7%

2nd Half More Goals22.4%

1st Half More Goals17.7%

HT Home Win11.1%

HT Away Win11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.2%

HT/FT Away/Away9.8%

HT/FT Home/Home9.8%

HT Over 1.53.1%

HT Both Teams Score1.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions