UEFA Europa Conference League

Ajax vs Shelbourne

Full time · 3:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Ajax 56.2% Draw 15.0% Shelbourne 28.8%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 94%

✓ Pick was correct (3:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Ajax win at 56.2%.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Ajax win

56.2%

1X2 model probability

Draw

15%

1X2 model probability

Shelbourne win

28.8%

1X2 model probability

Ajax

W W D W D L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 11:4 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 0.67

Shelbourne

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ajax win56.2%

Draw15.0%

Shelbourne win28.8%

Over 1.5 goals99.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.2%

Over 3.5 goals92.2%

Both teams to score93.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.0%

Goal in Both Halves94.0%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Home or Draw (1X)69.1%

Draw No Bet - Home66.0%

Home Win54.8%

Draw or Away (X2)42.5%

Draw No Bet - Away34.0%

Away Win28.2%

Draw14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal0.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals94.6%

Over 3.5 Goals89.7%

4+ Goals89.7%

Over 4.5 Goals81.0%

Over 5.5 Goals68.6%

Total Goals Even48.7%

Total Goals Odd48.6%

Under 5.5 Goals31.4%

Under 4.5 Goals19.0%

2-4 Goals15.7%

3-4 Goals13.6%

Under 3.5 Goals10.3%

1-3 Goals7.5%

2-3 Goals7.0%

Under 2.5 Goals5.4%

Exactly 3 Goals4.9%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

1-2 Goals2.6%

Exactly 2 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.6%

Away Team to Score92.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.9%

Home Clean Sheet4.6%

Home Win to Nil4.5%

Away Clean Sheet1.7%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.6%

Away Over 0.592.7%

Home Over 1.588.5%

Away Over 1.578.7%

Home Over 2.574.3%

Home 3+ Goals74.3%

Away Over 2.557.2%

Away 3+ Goals57.2%

Away Exactly 221.5%

Home Exactly 214.2%

Away Exactly 114.0%

Home Exactly 17.0%

Away Exactly 04.6%

Home Exactly 01.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home25.7%

Home to win by 3+25.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 115.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 213.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 111.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.7%

Away to win by 3+8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.9%

Away to win by 27.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.0%

Home & Over 2.553.8%

Home & BTTS50.3%

Away & Over 2.527.6%

Away & BTTS26.5%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Home & No BTTS4.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Draw & Under 2.51.1%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.0%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.9%

HT Over 1.582.8%

HT Both Teams Score62.7%

2nd Half More Goals52.9%

HT Home Win48.0%

HT/FT Home/Home39.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win29.1%

HT Draw22.8%

HT/FT Away/Away17.8%

HT Under 1.517.2%

Equal Goals Each Half14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.6%

HT Under 0.54.1%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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